{ "ticker": { "uuid": "029cbdd1-ac74-4ee8-8aff-02fac803e9b3", "symbol": "SGM", "name": "STMicroelectronics N.V.", "exchange": "GER", "country": "DE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GDAXI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": -0.372, "architecture_energy": 28.727, "architecture_maturity": 71.307, "architecture_confidence": 76.955, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 53.73, "rotation_up": 14.0, "upward_expansion": 48.25, "deceleration": 88.0, "rotation_down": 49.97, "downward_expansion": 33.25 }, "activity_lines": [ 48.915, 54.252119, 54.73715, 49.818076 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 48.255001, "trend_reference": 42.747437, "distance_from_trend": 0.12884, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 32.092459, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.503624, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 31.720858, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.941297, "excess_performance": 0.876657, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.12884, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.398983, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.503624, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.091766, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.317209, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.58038, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.941297, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.952833, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 69805, "relative_activity": 0.551479, "balance": 0.952833, "dry_up": 1.111657, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.125404, "annualized_volatility": 0.545116, "from_high_reference": -0.290677, "from_low_reference": 1.6231 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 42.747437, "fair_value_reference": 32.092459, "structural_low": 25.405001, "invalidation": "A 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"2026-07-10", "close": 61.919998, "volume": 140879, "typical_volume": 124389.25, "trend": 39.333039, "fair_value": 31.979133, "relative_strength": 87.287253, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.715399, "energy": 65.066546, "activity_lines": [ 63.57134, 62.693333, 54.633459, 47.78112 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 53.77, "volume": 110072, "typical_volume": 125998.2, "trend": 40.388165, "fair_value": 32.040222, "relative_strength": 61.755841, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 48.930014, "energy": 48.978509, "activity_lines": [ 59.950666, 61.47268, 55.308399, 48.712537 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 46.77, "volume": 181294, "typical_volume": 127258.4, "trend": 41.212947, "fair_value": 32.039626, "relative_strength": 37.310235, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 26.452135, "energy": 28.410222, "activity_lines": [ 54.922, 58.896837, 55.195531, 49.124268 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 45.67, "volume": 201673, "typical_volume": 130573.8, "trend": 41.958039, "fair_value": 32.050716, "relative_strength": 29.713933, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 6.609343, "energy": 28.66382, "activity_lines": [ 50.925333, 56.227723, 54.88409, 49.41182 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 48.255001, "volume": 69805, "typical_volume": 126577.7, "trend": 42.747437, "fair_value": 32.092459, "relative_strength": 31.720858, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -0.371948, "energy": 28.727497, "activity_lines": [ 48.915, 54.252119, 54.73715, 49.818076 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }