{ "ticker": { "uuid": "02a74846-3080-4af4-8278-d56546893a77", "symbol": "PEBB", "name": "The Pebble Group plc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 33.044, "architecture_energy": 19.301, "architecture_maturity": 54.774, "architecture_confidence": 89.489, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 46.89, "rotation_up": 25.92, "upward_expansion": 57.0, "deceleration": 87.95, "rotation_down": 29.09, "downward_expansion": 18.34 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.569667, 0.578818, 0.574139, 0.556284 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 0.56, "trend_reference": 0.532951, "distance_from_trend": 0.050753, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.516124, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.08501, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 2.142116, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.164357, "excess_performance": 0.113122, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.050753, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.101474, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.08501, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.078717, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.021421, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.053602, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.164357, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.869504, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2191639, "relative_activity": 0.994662, "balance": 2.869504, "dry_up": 1.202499, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.065769, "annualized_volatility": 0.265601, "from_high_reference": -0.096774, "from_low_reference": 0.455445 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.532951, "fair_value_reference": 0.516124, "structural_low": 0.452095, "invalidation": "A 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"2025-06-06", "end": "2025-07-11", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.102273, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-07-18", "end": "2025-09-12", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.041237, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-09-19", "end": "2025-11-14", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.050506, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-11-21", "end": "2025-12-19", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.042553, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-12-26", "end": "2026-01-30", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.172412, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-02-06", "end": "2026-02-13", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": 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"upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.665512, "energy": 36.159548, "activity_lines": [ 0.589, 0.590455, 0.572577, 0.552183 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.555, "volume": 5058214, "typical_volume": 2142433.2, "trend": 0.528072, "fair_value": 0.517759, "relative_strength": 1.192803, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.028201, "energy": 24.478422, "activity_lines": [ 0.577333, 0.583818, 0.573319, 0.554225 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.56, "volume": 2191639, "typical_volume": 2203400.45, "trend": 0.532951, "fair_value": 0.516124, "relative_strength": 2.142116, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 33.043721, "energy": 19.301443, "activity_lines": [ 0.569667, 0.578818, 0.574139, 0.556284 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }