{ "ticker": { "uuid": "02a84773-8fab-48cb-825f-6f658660454c", "symbol": "U1RI34", "name": "United Rentals, Inc.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 74.247, "architecture_energy": 56.428, "architecture_maturity": 81.954, "architecture_confidence": 67.519, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 26.0, "rotation_up": 46.83, "upward_expansion": 78.12, "deceleration": 74.24, "rotation_down": 28.08, "downward_expansion": 9.45 }, "activity_lines": [ 201.891332, 200.902364, 190.980608, 180.941947 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 210.139999, "trend_reference": 171.327702, "distance_from_trend": 0.226538, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 142.452148, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.475162, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 17.246086, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.262574, "excess_performance": 0.319622, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.226538, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.082815, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.475162, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.245697, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.172461, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.321954, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.262574, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.928571, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 78, "relative_activity": 0.373027, "balance": 2.928571, "dry_up": 2.45935, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.057525, "annualized_volatility": 0.456245, "from_high_reference": -0.014353, "from_low_reference": 0.578975 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 171.327702, "fair_value_reference": 142.452148, "structural_low": 133.086349, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 27, "median_return": 0.03486, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": 0.027925, "regime_survival": 0.777778, "best_return": 0.229821, "worst_return": -0.166855, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.006316, "positive_rate": 0.545455, "directional_follow_through": 0.545455, "median_excess_return": 0.010916, "regime_survival": 0.636364, "best_return": 0.397519, "worst_return": -0.297854, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.043452, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.008859, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.479673, "worst_return": -0.186721, "sufficient": true }, { 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172.747525 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 190.009995, "volume": 34, "typical_volume": 116.35, "trend": 167.839402, "fair_value": 140.048972, "relative_strength": 4.691831, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.665533, "energy": 62.775289, "activity_lines": [ 197.742666, 195.337092, 181.915402, 174.24453 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 205.600006, "volume": 1904, "typical_volume": 209.8, "trend": 169.248489, "fair_value": 140.895143, "relative_strength": 13.341639, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.654502, "energy": 64.500494, "activity_lines": [ 199.700001, 198.064547, 185.373401, 176.680698 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 195.509995, "volume": 41, "typical_volume": 208.15, "trend": 170.352148, "fair_value": 141.641367, "relative_strength": 5.725236, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 49.282086, "energy": 46.702637, "activity_lines": [ 197.887332, 198.399273, 187.615644, 178.374989 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 210.139999, "volume": 78, "typical_volume": 209.1, "trend": 171.327702, "fair_value": 142.452148, "relative_strength": 17.246086, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.247092, "energy": 56.427804, "activity_lines": [ 201.891332, 200.902364, 190.980608, 180.941947 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }