{ "ticker": { "uuid": "02ad549a-5d08-4606-8f89-d05540d2ee32", "symbol": "2405", "name": "Shuttle Inc.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-21", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1a", "phase_label": "Stage 1A \u00b7 Bottoming", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 83.966, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Momentum cooling", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -25.302, "architecture_energy": 24.716, "architecture_maturity": 31.768, "architecture_confidence": 60.733, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 40.21, "rotation_up": 15.99, "upward_expansion": 14.97, "deceleration": 60.63, "rotation_down": 64.75, "downward_expansion": 46.97 }, "activity_lines": [ 15.89, 16.297922, 16.715582, 16.510806 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 15.45, "trend_reference": 16.301909, "distance_from_trend": -0.052258, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 17.971278, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.140295, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -34.98631, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.003824, "excess_performance": -0.349556, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.052258, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.016657, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.140295, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.071499, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.349863, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.012472, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.003824, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.397163, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3782990, "relative_activity": 0.221914, "balance": 2.397163, "dry_up": 0.374539, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.106896, "annualized_volatility": 0.416275, "from_high_reference": -0.28714, "from_low_reference": 0.090551 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 16.301909, "fair_value_reference": 17.971278, "structural_low": 14.167151, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.019929, "positive_rate": 0.416667, "directional_follow_through": 0.416667, "median_excess_return": -0.034962, "regime_survival": 0.583333, "best_return": 0.171348, "worst_return": -0.115108, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.089868, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.056695, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.34748, "worst_return": -0.144876, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.009061, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.009595, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.221122, "worst_return": -0.208651, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-03-21", "end": "2025-03-28", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.068966, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-04-04", "end": "2025-04-04", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-11", "end": "2025-08-22", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.238405, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "violet", "start": "2025-08-29", "end": "2025-10-24", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.018229, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-10-31", "end": "2025-11-28", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.05914, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-12-05", "end": "2025-12-19", 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18922651.95, "trend": 16.395223, "fair_value": 17.954948, "relative_strength": -31.947754, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -11.985315, "energy": 17.40116, "activity_lines": [ 16.306666, 16.846855, 16.862228, 16.591696 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 16.049999, "volume": 7274147, "typical_volume": 17171545.7, "trend": 16.358566, "fair_value": 17.963002, "relative_strength": -34.312378, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -16.342964, "energy": 19.188872, "activity_lines": [ 16.149999, 16.587563, 16.817936, 16.569423 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-21", "close": 15.45, "volume": 3782990, "typical_volume": 17047076.6, "trend": 16.301909, "fair_value": 17.971278, "relative_strength": -34.98631, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -25.301837, "energy": 24.715519, "activity_lines": [ 15.89, 16.297922, 16.715582, 16.510806 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }