{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "02b63df0-8d2a-41f8-bb81-3cb9af12a0fa",
    "symbol": "FMBH",
    "name": "First Mid Illinois Bancshares Inc",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 70.384,
    "architecture_energy": 75.752,
    "architecture_maturity": 44.587,
    "architecture_confidence": 83.187,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 0.35,
        "rotation_up": 78.25,
        "upward_expansion": 94.5,
        "deceleration": 42.77,
        "rotation_down": 12.0,
        "downward_expansion": 16.5
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        50.906667,
        49.663091,
        47.425744,
        45.885506
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 51.17,
    "trend_reference": 44.213739,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.157333,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 35.77408,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.430365,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 8.04216,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.16117,
    "excess_performance": -0.026283,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.157333,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.08103,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.430365,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.14098,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.080422,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.144407,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.16117,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.706808,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 574563,
      "relative_activity": 0.898411,
      "balance": 2.706808,
      "dry_up": 1.150584,
      "accumulation_observations": 6,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.049743,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.201771,
      "from_high_reference": -0.041042,
      "from_low_reference": 0.526107
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 44.213739,
      "fair_value_reference": 35.77408,
      "structural_low": 38.469862,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 22,
        "median_return": 0.011153,
        "positive_rate": 0.545455,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.545455,
        "median_excess_return": 0.008287,
        "regime_survival": 0.681818,
        "best_return": 0.112087,
        "worst_return": -0.161048,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
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        "positive_rate": 0.428571,
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        "regime_survival": 0.142857,
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        "worst_return": -0.074293,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
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        "worst_return": -0.105434,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
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        "worst_return": -0.16034,
        "sufficient": false
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 526652.35,
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": -1.8821,
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      },
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 629105.35,
        "trend": 42.967228,
        "fair_value": 35.323726,
        "relative_strength": 8.863328,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.965842,
        "energy": 77.978282,
        "activity_lines": [
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          45.425469,
          44.328733
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 51.0,
        "volume": 913419,
        "typical_volume": 643529.45,
        "trend": 43.349515,
        "fair_value": 35.469908,
        "relative_strength": 14.352741,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.941331,
        "energy": 78.880753,
        "activity_lines": [
          49.384,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 52.09,
        "volume": 762260,
        "typical_volume": 651533.95,
        "trend": 43.813267,
        "fair_value": 35.622722,
        "relative_strength": 15.833253,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 82.80923,
        "energy": 82.530861,
        "activity_lines": [
          50.430667,
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          46.84141,
          45.410878
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 51.17,
        "volume": 574563,
        "typical_volume": 639532.45,
        "trend": 44.213739,
        "fair_value": 35.77408,
        "relative_strength": 8.04216,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.384047,
        "energy": 75.752028,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}