{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "02c783bb-b3c0-4495-bb81-ac91052a2ea1",
    "symbol": "6532",
    "name": "Calitech Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "TWO",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-14",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 73.359,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -11.578,
    "architecture_energy": 20.912,
    "architecture_maturity": 14.967,
    "architecture_confidence": 48.853,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 38.96,
        "rotation_up": 22.16,
        "upward_expansion": 23.33,
        "deceleration": 56.5,
        "rotation_down": 51.16,
        "downward_expansion": 39.33
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        77.646666,
        78.423636,
        84.286651,
        82.843706
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 86.5,
    "trend_reference": 77.781936,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.112083,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 63.461819,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.363024,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -6.55004,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.648636,
    "excess_performance": 0.207264,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.112083,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.141228,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.363024,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.370087,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.0655,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.209388,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.648636,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.221258,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 2398264,
      "relative_activity": 0.410925,
      "balance": 0.221258,
      "dry_up": 0.290188,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.122724,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.722868,
      "from_high_reference": -0.269217,
      "from_low_reference": 0.825096
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 77.781936,
      "fair_value_reference": 63.461819,
      "structural_low": 51.018222,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.02439,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.030507,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.184534,
        "worst_return": -0.043771,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.026936,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.0204,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.12478,
        "worst_return": -0.134864,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.296683,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.022781,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.382155,
        "worst_return": 0.038915,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.065363,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.279592,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.271187,
        "worst_return": -0.140461,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-04-05",
        "end": "2024-07-05",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.070522,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-07-12",
        "end": "2024-11-22",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.081425,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-11-29",
        "end": "2025-01-03",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.035961,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-01-10",
        "end": "2025-01-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.001435,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-01-24",
        "end": "2025-07-04",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.091241,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-07-11",
        "end": "2025-08-08",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.091678,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-08-15",
        "end": "2025-09-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.06793,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-10-03",
        "end": "2025-10-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.016835,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-10-17",
        "end": "2026-01-16",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.003478,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-01-23",
        "end": "2026-03-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.052174,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-03-13",
        "end": "2026-03-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.086525,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-03-27",
        "end": "2026-06-12",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.191689,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-06-19",
        "end": "2026-07-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.245614,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-07-31",
        "end": "2026-08-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.320611,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-11",
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        "typical_volume": 5366100.0,
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "relative_strength": -24.062322,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -31.044481,
        "energy": 33.783193,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 65.5,
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        "typical_volume": 6625141.75,
        "trend": 75.814377,
        "fair_value": 63.112017,
        "relative_strength": -25.951456,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -35.619882,
        "energy": 57.152668,
        "activity_lines": [
          70.66,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 82.099998,
        "volume": 2329757,
        "typical_volume": 6443881.45,
        "trend": 76.689393,
        "fair_value": 63.269378,
        "relative_strength": -8.734631,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -23.257405,
        "energy": 48.877242,
        "activity_lines": [
          73.086666,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 86.5,
        "volume": 2398264,
        "typical_volume": 5836262.9,
        "trend": 77.781936,
        "fair_value": 63.461819,
        "relative_strength": -6.55004,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -11.577863,
        "energy": 20.91159,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}