{ "ticker": { "uuid": "02ca7714-1e2d-44b3-a4be-082a42c9442f", "symbol": "BURE", "name": "Bure Equity AB (publ)", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 47.184, "architecture_energy": 29.433, "architecture_maturity": 35.132, "architecture_confidence": 47.192, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 40.71, "rotation_up": 45.11, "upward_expansion": 63.48, "deceleration": 59.57, "rotation_down": 20.58, "downward_expansion": 13.48 }, "activity_lines": [ 267.906673, 265.96364, 267.330731, 257.550677 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 274.200012, "trend_reference": 244.409862, "distance_from_trend": 0.121886, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 296.329014, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.074677, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -3.452885, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.360606, "excess_performance": 0.299112, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.121886, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.0314, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.074677, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.048921, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.034529, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.037165, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.360606, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.533063, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 445390, "relative_activity": 0.750066, "balance": 0.533063, "dry_up": 0.911594, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.069218, "annualized_volatility": 0.353588, "from_high_reference": -0.122801, "from_low_reference": 0.456464 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 244.409862, "fair_value_reference": 296.329014, "structural_low": 188.264203, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.033473, "positive_rate": 0.727273, "directional_follow_through": 0.727273, "median_excess_return": 0.013677, "regime_survival": 0.545455, "best_return": 0.101217, "worst_return": -0.111984, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.01108, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.026413, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.20348, "worst_return": -0.159677, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.177254, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.141784, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.19323, "worst_return": -0.331041, "sufficient": false 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264.866671, 266.978183, 263.974924, 252.762264 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 266.200012, "volume": 412515, "typical_volume": 592023.6, "trend": 242.215857, "fair_value": 295.599332, "relative_strength": -4.254929, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.288932, "energy": 22.613356, "activity_lines": [ 266.093341, 266.123639, 265.306416, 254.366117 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 260.399994, "volume": 674852, "typical_volume": 602355.4, "trend": 243.02347, "fair_value": 295.913071, "relative_strength": -7.056765, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.658167, "energy": 19.80997, "activity_lines": [ 264.733337, 264.440002, 265.786048, 255.539287 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 274.200012, "volume": 445390, "typical_volume": 593801.1, "trend": 244.409862, "fair_value": 296.329014, "relative_strength": -3.452885, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.183814, "energy": 29.432739, "activity_lines": [ 267.906673, 265.96364, 267.330731, 257.550677 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }