{ "ticker": { "uuid": "02d39981-d438-48a3-b9e7-32254bec2472", "symbol": "AGIL", "name": "Agile Content, S.A.", "exchange": "MCE", "country": "ES", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^IBEX", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 59.884, "architecture_energy": 65.269, "architecture_maturity": 32.329, "architecture_confidence": 71.516, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.42, "rotation_up": 48.87, "upward_expansion": 87.14, "deceleration": 49.01, "rotation_down": 25.35, "downward_expansion": 16.14 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.2, 2.194909, 2.160286, 2.133118 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 2.2, "trend_reference": 2.109333, "distance_from_trend": 0.042984, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 2.870897, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.233689, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -8.200258, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.067961, "excess_performance": -0.05647, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.042984, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.045778, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.233689, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.088223, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.082003, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.041405, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.067961, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.252026, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 0.252026, "dry_up": 3.568959, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.01993, "annualized_volatility": 0.21111, "from_high_reference": -0.12, "from_low_reference": 0.466667 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.109333, "fair_value_reference": 2.870897, "structural_low": 1.97, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.014797, "positive_rate": 0.125, "directional_follow_through": 0.125, "median_excess_return": -0.047912, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.018519, "worst_return": -0.11215, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.102041, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.090221, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.067961, "worst_return": -0.201681, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.184557, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.242267, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.14916, "worst_return": -0.219955, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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"date": "2026-07-10", "close": 2.2, "volume": 73264, "typical_volume": 14573.85, "trend": 2.108667, "fair_value": 2.912436, "relative_strength": -6.050217, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.042732, "energy": 56.205686, "activity_lines": [ 2.190667, 2.169455, 2.122952, 2.109677 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 2.2, "volume": 453713, "typical_volume": 36281.1, "trend": 2.109333, "fair_value": 2.904167, "relative_strength": -4.689167, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.045554, "energy": 66.498778, "activity_lines": [ 2.197333, 2.179636, 2.133524, 2.11557 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.2, "volume": 167450, "typical_volume": 43861.9, "trend": 2.109333, "fair_value": 2.893654, "relative_strength": -6.059099, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.29485, "energy": 69.398259, "activity_lines": [ 2.201333, 2.186909, 2.143429, 2.121419 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.2, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 43754.4, "trend": 2.109333, "fair_value": 2.882756, "relative_strength": -6.593908, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.600852, "energy": 71.7708, "activity_lines": [ 2.2, 2.192364, 2.152381, 2.127269 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.2, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 43511.5, "trend": 2.109333, "fair_value": 2.870897, "relative_strength": -8.200258, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.884273, "energy": 65.268538, "activity_lines": [ 2.2, 2.194909, 2.160286, 2.133118 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }