{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "02dcaef3-55c5-4182-957f-d894967b1ece",
    "symbol": "LJ3",
    "name": "OUE Limited",
    "exchange": "SES",
    "country": "SG",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^STI",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -69.925,
    "architecture_energy": 71.477,
    "architecture_maturity": 56.325,
    "architecture_confidence": 92.89,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 4.15,
        "rotation_up": 24.74,
        "upward_expansion": 15.03,
        "deceleration": 44.42,
        "rotation_down": 64.79,
        "downward_expansion": 93.03
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        1.002,
        1.008545,
        1.033861,
        1.055554
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 1.0,
    "trend_reference": 1.088504,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.081308,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 1.05155,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.049023,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -25.882008,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.144838,
    "excess_performance": -0.299673,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.081308,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.050086,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.049023,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.088688,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.25882,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.140367,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.144838,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.0,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 281900,
      "relative_activity": 1.317105,
      "balance": 0.0,
      "dry_up": 1.102182,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.023077,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.104331,
      "from_high_reference": -0.211647,
      "from_low_reference": 0.010101
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 1.088504,
      "fair_value_reference": 1.05155,
      "structural_low": 0.99,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 32,
        "median_return": -4.1e-05,
        "positive_rate": 0.375,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.010134,
        "regime_survival": 0.8125,
        "best_return": 0.185946,
        "worst_return": -0.068627,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": 0.005174,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.026564,
        "regime_survival": 0.583333,
        "best_return": 0.17191,
        "worst_return": -0.096753,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.009523,
        "positive_rate": 0.571429,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.428571,
        "median_excess_return": -0.031067,
        "regime_survival": 0.571429,
        "best_return": 0.380707,
        "worst_return": -0.104861,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.036952,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.083878,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
        "best_return": 0.197332,
        "worst_return": -0.117236,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-03-08",
        "end": "2024-03-22",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.009345,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-03-29",
        "end": "2024-04-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.018349,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-05-03",
        "end": "2024-05-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.038928,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2024-06-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.034188,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2024-07-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.098361,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-08-09",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.019231,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "end": "2024-09-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.078805,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-10-04",
        "end": "2024-10-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.009346,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-10-18",
        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.018515,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-06-13",
        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.11,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-12-05",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.110408,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2026-02-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.034188,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-02-27",
        "end": "2026-03-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.042735,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "end": "2026-08-07",
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        "return": -0.082645,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "trend": 1.169039,
        "fair_value": 1.047752,
        "relative_strength": -13.50332,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "energy": 47.7091,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 1.10991,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 381990.0,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "trend": 1.161441,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 376375.0,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "volume": 440500,
        "typical_volume": 383860.0,
        "trend": 1.145898,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 367335.0,
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        "relative_strength": -15.642165,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 344500.0,
        "trend": 1.133318,
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "trend": 1.121048,
        "fair_value": 1.050851,
        "relative_strength": -20.867897,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -81.603955,
        "energy": 83.20213,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.034,
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          1.074465,
          1.09527
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 1.01,
        "volume": 135200,
        "typical_volume": 264870.0,
        "trend": 1.115075,
        "fair_value": 1.051148,
        "relative_strength": -21.248904,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -77.007005,
        "energy": 86.119735,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.022667,
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          1.088106
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 1.01,
        "volume": 281000,
        "typical_volume": 233425.0,
        "trend": 1.110093,
        "fair_value": 1.051148,
        "relative_strength": -23.99781,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -72.826062,
        "energy": 87.604217,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.015333,
          1.034002,
          1.058909,
          1.081327
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 1.01,
        "volume": 185900,
        "typical_volume": 224385.0,
        "trend": 1.105772,
        "fair_value": 1.051267,
        "relative_strength": -24.117289,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -69.713517,
        "energy": 86.169533,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.011333,
          1.026727,
          1.052435,
          1.074869
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 1.0,
        "volume": 243000,
        "typical_volume": 211745.0,
        "trend": 1.099796,
        "fair_value": 1.051322,
        "relative_strength": -25.431362,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -74.796215,
        "energy": 86.782251,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.006667,
          1.019091,
          1.045721,
          1.068045
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 1.0,
        "volume": 232800,
        "typical_volume": 214925.0,
        "trend": 1.09382,
        "fair_value": 1.051436,
        "relative_strength": -25.442109,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -72.362563,
        "energy": 82.385596,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.004,
          1.013091,
          1.039529,
          1.061607
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 1.0,
        "volume": 281900,
        "typical_volume": 214030.0,
        "trend": 1.088504,
        "fair_value": 1.05155,
        "relative_strength": -25.882008,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -69.924744,
        "energy": 71.477235,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.002,
          1.008545,
          1.033861,
          1.055554
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}