{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "0300e407-c876-4a69-a2de-aa5bc329f4ee",
    "symbol": "PILL",
    "name": "DIREXION DAILY PHARMACEUTICAL & MEDICAL BULL 3X ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 77.889,
    "architecture_energy": 67.905,
    "architecture_maturity": 36.115,
    "architecture_confidence": 80.62,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 9.09,
        "rotation_up": 72.15,
        "upward_expansion": 84.91,
        "deceleration": 58.72,
        "rotation_down": 14.3,
        "downward_expansion": 11.57
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        14.949621
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 20.76,
    "trend_reference": 13.585608,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.528088,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 8.607005,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 1.411989,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 58.432807,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.644132,
    "excess_performance": 0.518507,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.528088,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.174637,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.411989,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.775812,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.584328,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.307249,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.644132,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.133347,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 302440,
      "relative_activity": 0.897727,
      "balance": 3.133347,
      "dry_up": 0.973732,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 1
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    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.10507,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.642839,
      "from_high_reference": -0.026951,
      "from_low_reference": 2.420148
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 8.607005,
      "structural_low": 8.79,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
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    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 13,
        "median_return": 0.041626,
        "positive_rate": 0.692308,
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        "median_excess_return": 0.038653,
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        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": 9.492871,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 414627.95,
        "trend": 11.822109,
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        "relative_strength": 25.494733,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "relative_strength": 27.874277,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "typical_volume": 393617.65,
        "trend": 12.1626,
        "fair_value": 8.196581,
        "relative_strength": 60.397677,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 84.769404,
        "energy": 76.765755,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 390453.95,
        "trend": 12.399643,
        "fair_value": 8.267132,
        "relative_strength": 61.118624,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 87.231641,
        "energy": 88.97158,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 19.31,
        "volume": 607247,
        "typical_volume": 404328.85,
        "trend": 12.630482,
        "fair_value": 8.339729,
        "relative_strength": 63.209624,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 84.155995,
        "energy": 93.014078,
        "activity_lines": [
          17.650656,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 19.48,
        "volume": 446055,
        "typical_volume": 387873.8,
        "trend": 12.867985,
        "fair_value": 8.409574,
        "relative_strength": 63.807713,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 79.763137,
        "energy": 92.169735,
        "activity_lines": [
          18.614429,
          16.56324,
          14.604947,
          13.715532
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 18.73,
        "volume": 256588,
        "typical_volume": 347314.3,
        "trend": 13.053446,
        "fair_value": 8.470274,
        "relative_strength": 55.516346,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.834638,
        "energy": 87.421401,
        "activity_lines": [
          18.930667,
          17.237288,
          15.135477,
          14.093727
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 18.85,
        "volume": 307100,
        "typical_volume": 337865.95,
        "trend": 13.290191,
        "fair_value": 8.533416,
        "relative_strength": 51.891426,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.851838,
        "energy": 80.856513,
        "activity_lines": [
          18.977333,
          17.803315,
          15.640286,
          14.467698
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 20.76,
        "volume": 302440,
        "typical_volume": 336895.15,
        "trend": 13.585608,
        "fair_value": 8.607005,
        "relative_strength": 58.432807,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.889364,
        "energy": 67.905077,
        "activity_lines": [
          19.577333,
          18.595311,
          16.284806,
          14.949621
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}