{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "031766a8-0174-435c-9601-288c820ca987",
    "symbol": "EUSRT",
    "name": "UBS MSCI EMU Socially Responsible UCITS ETF hCHF dis",
    "exchange": "EBS",
    "country": "CH",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^SSMI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 80.304,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 81.141,
    "architecture_energy": 55.297,
    "architecture_maturity": 65.075,
    "architecture_confidence": 55.918,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 19.55,
        "rotation_up": 47.83,
        "upward_expansion": 75.57,
        "deceleration": 70.25,
        "rotation_down": 29.07,
        "downward_expansion": 13.57
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        23.801,
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        23.425691,
        23.012006
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 24.360001,
    "trend_reference": 22.609422,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.077427,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 20.491522,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.188784,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -1.639865,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.0915,
    "excess_performance": 0.008617,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.077427,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.024975,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.188784,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.064886,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.016399,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.010002,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.0915,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.347326,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 10027,
      "relative_activity": 1.291948,
      "balance": 1.347326,
      "dry_up": 0.912719,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.019483,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.17857,
      "from_high_reference": 0.0,
      "from_low_reference": 0.225845
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 22.609422,
      "fair_value_reference": 20.491522,
      "structural_low": 19.872,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 31,
        "median_return": -0.007774,
        "positive_rate": 0.483871,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.483871,
        "median_excess_return": -0.001252,
        "regime_survival": 0.645161,
        "best_return": 0.085215,
        "worst_return": -0.055147,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": -0.010881,
        "positive_rate": 0.416667,
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        "regime_survival": 0.25,
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        "worst_return": -0.077223,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.045904,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.857143,
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        "regime_survival": 0.285714,
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        "worst_return": -0.019664,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.142829,
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 10871.45,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": 1.637915,
        "stage": 3,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 10523.35,
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        "relative_strength": -0.278561,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "typical_volume": 8965.5,
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        "relative_strength": -2.855075,
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        "energy": 82.346241,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "trend": 22.361462,
        "fair_value": 20.309698,
        "relative_strength": -3.152589,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 8658.9,
        "trend": 22.423991,
        "fair_value": 20.346254,
        "relative_strength": -2.354403,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.330587,
        "energy": 81.974987,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 23.299999,
        "volume": 4271,
        "typical_volume": 8152.95,
        "trend": 22.461046,
        "fair_value": 20.380014,
        "relative_strength": -5.093337,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.550147,
        "energy": 55.240108,
        "activity_lines": [
          23.683333,
          23.635727,
          23.087762,
          22.761197
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 23.385,
        "volume": 7156,
        "typical_volume": 7625.4,
        "trend": 22.50326,
        "fair_value": 20.411682,
        "relative_strength": -4.45299,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 48.85483,
        "energy": 45.122302,
        "activity_lines": [
          23.554333,
          23.618545,
          23.170762,
          22.820807
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 23.655001,
        "volume": 6881,
        "typical_volume": 7604.55,
        "trend": 22.548162,
        "fair_value": 20.449434,
        "relative_strength": -3.302672,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 47.024149,
        "energy": 38.117736,
        "activity_lines": [
          23.559334,
          23.632364,
          23.270071,
          22.895113
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 24.360001,
        "volume": 10027,
        "typical_volume": 7761.15,
        "trend": 22.609422,
        "fair_value": 20.491522,
        "relative_strength": -1.639865,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.141435,
        "energy": 55.297116,
        "activity_lines": [
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          23.425691,
          23.012006
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}