{ "ticker": { "uuid": "031d48eb-0b93-46b1-9b95-58f6925e7455", "symbol": "COO", "name": "The Cooper Companies, Inc.", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 49.551, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": 21.815, "architecture_energy": 72.538, "architecture_maturity": 8.219, "architecture_confidence": 48.842, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 29.65, "rotation_up": 61.88, "upward_expansion": 56.8, "deceleration": 17.67, "rotation_down": 14.0, "downward_expansion": 60.46 }, "activity_lines": [ 1237.78667, 1207.230899, 1170.273608, 1192.994635 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 1243.0, "trend_reference": 1246.408988, "distance_from_trend": -0.002735, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1551.699696, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.198943, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -5.653696, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.116246, "excess_performance": -0.061579, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.002735, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.058624, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.198943, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.13946, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.056537, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.243765, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.116246, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 33.875, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 33.875, "dry_up": 0.901826, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.011982, "annualized_volatility": 0.315242, "from_high_reference": -0.179213, "from_low_reference": 0.18157 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1246.408988, "fair_value_reference": 1551.699696, "structural_low": 1051.98999, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.018812, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.002567, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.183833, "worst_return": -0.026455, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.026274, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.091372, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.153194, "worst_return": -0.15337, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.136295, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.159542, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.156586, "worst_return": -0.262275, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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1150.781254, 1150.436272, 1196.847557 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1243.0, "volume": 8, "typical_volume": 225.1, "trend": 1263.022323, "fair_value": 1556.395081, "relative_strength": -5.910194, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "down", "direction": 26.956702, "energy": 49.940005, "activity_lines": [ 1211.02666, 1173.070712, 1156.488559, 1195.089988 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1243.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 120.15, "trend": 1255.455656, "fair_value": 1554.047388, "relative_strength": -6.150335, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "down", "direction": 23.263858, "energy": 51.855474, "activity_lines": [ 1227.1, 1191.88726, 1163.364417, 1193.798225 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1243.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 21.9, "trend": 1246.408988, "fair_value": 1551.699696, "relative_strength": -5.653696, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "down", "direction": 21.815118, "energy": 72.537745, "activity_lines": [ 1237.78667, 1207.230899, 1170.273608, 1192.994635 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }