{ "ticker": { "uuid": "032c3c69-96f0-422c-b5b5-c50c08a36c42", "symbol": "NXXT", "name": "NextNRG Inc.", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -56.817, "architecture_energy": 38.033, "architecture_maturity": 95.109, "architecture_confidence": 82.064, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.18, "rotation_up": 16.2, "upward_expansion": 3.79, "deceleration": 50.08, "rotation_down": 60.24, "downward_expansion": 79.45 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.291567, 0.324571, 0.389314, 0.429325 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 0.2901, "trend_reference": 0.531317, "distance_from_trend": -0.453998, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3.076069, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.905691, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -75.78193, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.702766, "excess_performance": -0.89022, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.453998, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.408527, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.905691, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.003108, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.757819, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.06078, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.702766, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.452567, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 9849938, "relative_activity": 0.156505, "balance": 3.452567, "dry_up": 0.626646, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.683875, "annualized_volatility": 1.956637, "from_high_reference": -0.899271, "from_low_reference": 0.426955 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.531317, "fair_value_reference": 3.076069, "structural_low": 0.2033, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 26, "median_return": -0.054086, "positive_rate": 0.423077, "directional_follow_through": 0.576923, "median_excess_return": -0.085194, "regime_survival": 0.846154, "best_return": 0.551355, "worst_return": -0.395495, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.004874, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.14885, "regime_survival": 0.7, "best_return": 0.318919, "worst_return": -0.651982, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.040541, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.11072, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.426901, "worst_return": -0.747477, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.321325, "energy": 48.527119, "activity_lines": [ 0.363573, 0.439116, 0.444677, 0.513978 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.2803, "volume": 55932479, "typical_volume": 59056664.2, "trend": 0.638583, "fair_value": 3.172981, "relative_strength": -77.348021, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.812951, "energy": 57.518023, "activity_lines": [ 0.327427, 0.405456, 0.427622, 0.488304 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.3208, "volume": 82394466, "typical_volume": 62874521.05, "trend": 0.59661, "fair_value": 3.142505, "relative_strength": -72.925837, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.691334, "energy": 49.273039, "activity_lines": [ 0.315093, 0.380282, 0.416229, 0.467802 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.2711, "volume": 9579471, "typical_volume": 63038792.05, "trend": 0.56098, "fair_value": 3.112511, "relative_strength": -76.752957, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.75007, "energy": 46.008739, "activity_lines": [ 0.297853, 0.345336, 0.401274, 0.446801 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.2901, "volume": 9849938, "typical_volume": 62936794.7, "trend": 0.531317, "fair_value": 3.076069, "relative_strength": -75.78193, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.817442, "energy": 38.032697, "activity_lines": [ 0.291567, 0.324571, 0.389314, 0.429325 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }