{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "03322f3a-4d3f-49c3-9d58-8d892e092fe9",
    "symbol": "BAYNN",
    "name": "Bayer Aktiengesellschaft",
    "exchange": "MEX",
    "country": "MX",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^MXX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 54.641,
    "architecture_energy": 64.117,
    "architecture_maturity": 43.044,
    "architecture_confidence": 96,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 26.29,
        "rotation_up": 74.44,
        "upward_expansion": 46.67,
        "deceleration": 48.45,
        "rotation_down": 22.0,
        "downward_expansion": 31.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        858.895984,
        825.655263,
        805.486372,
        806.726587
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 912.159973,
    "trend_reference": 819.514874,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.113049,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 633.372506,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.440164,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 19.818082,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.014807,
    "excess_performance": 0.039859,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.113049,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.04565,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.440164,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.234544,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.198181,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.164525,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.014807,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 5.0,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 0,
      "relative_activity": 0.0,
      "balance": 5.0,
      "dry_up": 2.0,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.012004,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.366893,
      "from_high_reference": -0.096037,
      "from_low_reference": 0.520481
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 819.514874,
      "fair_value_reference": 633.372506,
      "structural_low": 746.724915,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": 0.0,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.049385,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.084521,
        "worst_return": -0.106229,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.006363,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.059707,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.038991,
        "worst_return": -0.236825,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.007346,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": 0.002446,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.250112,
        "worst_return": -0.136474,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.06924,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.101268,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.079504,
        "worst_return": -0.465488,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-02-28",
        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.188226,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-03-21",
        "end": "2025-04-25",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.062064,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-05-02",
        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.035859,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-06-06",
        "end": "2025-06-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-06-20",
        "end": "2025-07-18",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.109847,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-07-25",
        "end": "2025-08-08",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.01746,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-08-15",
        "end": "2025-11-07",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.030695,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-11-14",
        "end": "2025-11-21",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-11-28",
        "end": "2026-01-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.405905,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-01-30",
        "end": "2026-02-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.007573,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2026-03-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.20282,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-03-20",
        "end": "2026-06-19",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.051257,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-06-26",
        "end": "2026-07-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-07-31",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 636.480044,
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        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 0.7,
        "trend": 809.577728,
        "fair_value": 635.294768,
        "relative_strength": 3.895925,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "direction": -80.380905,
        "energy": 93.133317,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 779.0,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 0.7,
        "trend": 809.931,
        "fair_value": 634.106992,
        "relative_strength": 4.155901,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -67.333332,
        "energy": 68.566664,
        "activity_lines": [
          779.0,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 912.159973,
        "volume": 6,
        "typical_volume": 0.75,
        "trend": 814.722937,
        "fair_value": 633.739749,
        "relative_strength": 20.42557,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 51.202019,
        "energy": 62.207446,
        "activity_lines": [
          823.386658,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 912.159973,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 0.75,
        "trend": 819.514874,
        "fair_value": 633.372506,
        "relative_strength": 19.818082,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 54.640933,
        "energy": 64.117094,
        "activity_lines": [
          858.895984,
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          806.726587
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}