{ "ticker": { "uuid": "033e12af-2221-427e-87d1-674ea1c777a1", "symbol": "DYTA", "name": "SGI DYNAMIC TACTICAL ETF", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 71.077, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 72.06, "architecture_energy": 48.172, "architecture_maturity": 50.328, "architecture_confidence": 48.352, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 27.56, "rotation_up": 42.58, "upward_expansion": 76.0, "deceleration": 73.8, "rotation_down": 28.63, "downward_expansion": 7.33 }, "activity_lines": [ 31.487767, 31.441813, 31.177501, 30.676426 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 31.94, "trend_reference": 30.132213, "distance_from_trend": 0.059995, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 27.122847, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.177605, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -5.290092, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.080708, "excess_performance": -0.106746, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.059995, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.027049, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.177605, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.006874, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.052901, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.047428, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.080708, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.541504, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 45946, "relative_activity": 0.737733, "balance": 1.541504, "dry_up": 0.761163, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.018901, "annualized_volatility": 0.118229, "from_high_reference": -0.002623, "from_low_reference": 0.184718 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 30.132213, "fair_value_reference": 27.122847, "structural_low": 26.96, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-10-04", "end": "2025-01-03", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.005475, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-01-10", "end": "2025-04-04", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.025201, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-11", "end": "2025-05-30", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.030363, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-06", "end": "2025-07-04", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.013012, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-07-11", "end": "2025-08-22", 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"regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.059676, "energy": 48.171563, "activity_lines": [ 31.487767, 31.441813, 31.177501, 30.676426 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }