{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0342d127-f291-4c9e-93d6-d1c4b652fa80", "symbol": "SWBI", "name": "Smith & Wesson Brands Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 81.581, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 6.347, "architecture_energy": 10.282, "architecture_maturity": 43.541, "architecture_confidence": 75.194, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 62.83, "rotation_up": 20.46, "upward_expansion": 42.28, "deceleration": 83.34, "rotation_down": 33.58, "downward_expansion": 31.62 }, "activity_lines": [ 14.579, 14.819838, 14.919636, 14.656886 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 14.25, "trend_reference": 13.964775, "distance_from_trend": 0.020425, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 11.759438, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.211793, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 5.101537, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.231211, "excess_performance": 0.043758, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.020425, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.146551, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.211793, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.048107, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.051015, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.11153, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.231211, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.546846, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1904912, "relative_activity": 0.627286, "balance": 0.546846, "dry_up": 0.715044, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.08996, "annualized_volatility": 0.332066, "from_high_reference": -0.18158, "from_low_reference": 0.877196 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 13.964775, "fair_value_reference": 11.759438, "structural_low": 11.355964, "invalidation": "A 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"close": 15.595, "volume": 2571053, "typical_volume": 3305201.4, "trend": 13.379665, "fair_value": 11.676128, "relative_strength": 18.084039, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.286841, "energy": 36.355033, "activity_lines": [ 15.305952, 15.188145, 15.015363, 14.4084 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 14.86, "volume": 2389401, "typical_volume": 3345512.2, "trend": 13.53247, "fair_value": 11.698725, "relative_strength": 16.478388, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.312968, "energy": 25.6963, "activity_lines": [ 15.178008, 15.145211, 15.032423, 14.503906 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 14.64, "volume": 2344058, "typical_volume": 3207903.3, "trend": 13.690493, "fair_value": 11.719799, "relative_strength": 15.734151, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 33.51357, "energy": 16.885714, "activity_lines": [ 14.961609, 15.054187, 15.013922, 14.575359 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 14.55, "volume": 2047264, "typical_volume": 3111507.9, "trend": 13.845846, "fair_value": 11.740978, "relative_strength": 13.495707, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 17.457226, "energy": 8.600575, "activity_lines": [ 14.802, 14.95713, 14.983149, 14.630811 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 14.25, "volume": 1904912, "typical_volume": 3036750.35, "trend": 13.964775, "fair_value": 11.759438, "relative_strength": 5.101537, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 6.347085, "energy": 10.282042, "activity_lines": [ 14.579, 14.819838, 14.919636, 14.656886 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }