{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "0358f70c-5e2a-4db9-8b72-f63fcd523024",
    "symbol": "EUNY",
    "name": "iShares EM Dividend UCITS ETF USD (Dist)",
    "exchange": "GER",
    "country": "DE",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GDAXI",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 54.651,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 52.797,
    "architecture_energy": 47.725,
    "architecture_maturity": 23.839,
    "architecture_confidence": 55.123,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The prior uptrend is attempting to re-accelerate.",
        "body": "Positive Trend survived a recompression and Fast Activity is strengthening again. Promotion requires renewed confirmation across the completed evidence set."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 36.32,
        "rotation_up": 66.74,
        "upward_expansion": 72.15,
        "deceleration": 47.81,
        "rotation_down": 9.44,
        "downward_expansion": 15.49
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        16.575866,
        16.409181,
        16.365657,
        16.37297
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 16.705999,
    "trend_reference": 16.330602,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.022987,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 13.376688,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.248889,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -0.532541,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.026702,
    "excess_performance": -0.037937,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.022987,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.031826,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.248889,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.042062,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.005325,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.116037,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.026702,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.906962,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 286047,
      "relative_activity": 1.035485,
      "balance": 0.906962,
      "dry_up": 1.121772,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.02052,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.115752,
      "from_high_reference": -0.017525,
      "from_low_reference": 0.230242
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 16.330602,
      "fair_value_reference": 13.376688,
      "structural_low": 15.666,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 13,
        "median_return": 0.009063,
        "positive_rate": 0.538462,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.538462,
        "median_excess_return": 0.004222,
        "regime_survival": 0.692308,
        "best_return": 0.065017,
        "worst_return": -0.041883,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.007703,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.019415,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.060086,
        "worst_return": -0.034,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.101915,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.081921,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.14542,
        "worst_return": -0.010219,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.182536,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.087991,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": 0.133716,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "end": "2024-08-30",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-10-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.105083,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.007903,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "active": false
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      {
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        "return": -0.004915,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-25",
        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "fair_value": 13.256989,
        "relative_strength": 3.488291,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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        "energy": 12.588981,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 16.628,
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        "typical_volume": 288984.55,
        "trend": 16.231565,
        "fair_value": 13.295343,
        "relative_strength": 4.277943,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
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          16.3328,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 16.6,
        "volume": 335247,
        "typical_volume": 284675.8,
        "trend": 16.285131,
        "fair_value": 13.335144,
        "relative_strength": 1.710012,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 36.53843,
        "energy": 28.894907,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.4596,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 16.705999,
        "volume": 286047,
        "typical_volume": 276244.5,
        "trend": 16.330602,
        "fair_value": 13.376688,
        "relative_strength": -0.532541,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 52.796577,
        "energy": 47.725466,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}