{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "036f0146-7f00-4bc0-b72b-c870663b1650",
    "symbol": "CCV",
    "name": "Cash Converters International Limited",
    "exchange": "ASX",
    "country": "AU",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-21",
    "benchmark": "^AXJO",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 72.912,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 54.353,
    "architecture_energy": 36.842,
    "architecture_maturity": 4.346,
    "architecture_confidence": 72.388,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 38.51,
        "rotation_up": 54.68,
        "upward_expansion": 74.86,
        "deceleration": 59.42,
        "rotation_down": 15.46,
        "downward_expansion": 3.86
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.319333,
        0.317091,
        0.30969,
        0.307241
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Stable",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 0.315,
    "trend_reference": 0.306026,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.029326,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 0.241898,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.302203,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -1.133604,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.0,
    "excess_performance": 0.002478,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.029326,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.002015,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.302203,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.003267,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.011336,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.003936,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.0,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.852991,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1052496,
      "relative_activity": 0.641221,
      "balance": 1.852991,
      "dry_up": 1.417087,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.054945,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.230681,
      "from_high_reference": -0.109588,
      "from_low_reference": 0.145455
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.306026,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.241898,
      "structural_low": 0.275,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 22,
        "median_return": 0.007576,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.001377,
        "regime_survival": 0.727273,
        "best_return": 0.126986,
        "worst_return": -0.066664,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": -0.020833,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
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        "worst_return": -0.102041,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.020685,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": 0.008043,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.057459,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "worst_return": -0.042624,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
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        "relative_strength": 5.004217,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        "energy": 40.873552,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.335,
        "volume": 3976961,
        "typical_volume": 1611498.9,
        "trend": 0.306667,
        "fair_value": 0.239167,
        "relative_strength": 5.718899,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 50.48569,
        "energy": 66.622734,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.323,
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          0.305786,
          0.305254
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.32,
        "volume": 2079309,
        "typical_volume": 1620224.0,
        "trend": 0.306349,
        "fair_value": 0.24009,
        "relative_strength": -2.100605,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 33.297332,
        "energy": 60.651673,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.324333,
          0.314727,
          0.307452,
          0.306114
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 0.315,
        "volume": 2195233,
        "typical_volume": 1658773.25,
        "trend": 0.306187,
        "fair_value": 0.240994,
        "relative_strength": -1.879966,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.320302,
        "energy": 62.13032,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.322,
          0.316182,
          0.308619,
          0.306672
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-21",
        "close": 0.315,
        "volume": 1052496,
        "typical_volume": 1641394.6,
        "trend": 0.306026,
        "fair_value": 0.241898,
        "relative_strength": -1.133604,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 54.353427,
        "energy": 36.842271,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.319333,
          0.317091,
          0.30969,
          0.307241
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}