{ "ticker": { "uuid": "039890cb-775c-4b4f-9740-3deac496b120", "symbol": "3131", "name": "Grand Process Technology Corporation", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 94.206, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Momentum cooling", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -19.161, "architecture_energy": 32.568, "architecture_maturity": 35.887, "architecture_confidence": 58.665, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 47.83, "rotation_up": 14.43, "upward_expansion": 17.61, "deceleration": 58.82, "rotation_down": 61.0, "downward_expansion": 42.61 }, "activity_lines": [ 2521.899544, 2793.773131, 2943.362259, 2861.461787 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 2535.0, "trend_reference": 2629.902429, "distance_from_trend": -0.036086, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1448.318221, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.750306, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -10.177927, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.670975, "excess_performance": 0.229603, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.036086, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.240914, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.750306, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.523725, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.101779, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.236682, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.670975, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.276661, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3307230, "relative_activity": 1.064812, "balance": 1.276661, "dry_up": 0.88384, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.216549, "annualized_volatility": 0.702146, "from_high_reference": -0.361766, "from_low_reference": 0.955801 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2629.902429, "fair_value_reference": 1448.318221, "structural_low": 1487.620329, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.015396, "positive_rate": 0.583333, "directional_follow_through": 0.583333, "median_excess_return": -0.012639, "regime_survival": 0.583333, "best_return": 0.248227, "worst_return": -0.217143, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.044338, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.108786, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.039326, "worst_return": -0.140244, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.082974, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.266271, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.625468, "worst_return": -0.451219, "sufficient": 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"typical_volume": 3215350.85, "trend": 2603.99078, "fair_value": 1435.571282, "relative_strength": -12.554729, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -25.442705, "energy": 31.490685, "activity_lines": [ 2589.602295, 2885.198611, 2989.299561, 2865.912805 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 2535.0, "volume": 3307230, "typical_volume": 3105929.05, "trend": 2629.902429, "fair_value": 1448.318221, "relative_strength": -10.177927, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -19.160506, "energy": 32.568134, "activity_lines": [ 2521.899544, 2793.773131, 2943.362259, 2861.461787 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }