{ "ticker": { "uuid": "039cb5e0-531b-42f2-addf-30a09b116a8a", "symbol": "SPYC", "name": "SIMPLIFY EXCHANGE TRADED FUNDS US EQUITY PLUS CONVEXITY ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 86.773, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 79.704, "architecture_energy": 48.563, "architecture_maturity": 44.177, "architecture_confidence": 75.182, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 23.82, "rotation_up": 53.67, "upward_expansion": 79.41, "deceleration": 62.74, "rotation_down": 24.56, "downward_expansion": 6.07 }, "activity_lines": [ 45.93952, 45.630546, 45.161944, 44.314261 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 47.7, "trend_reference": 43.447362, "distance_from_trend": 0.09788, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 37.417318, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.274811, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -1.127127, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.117173, "excess_performance": -0.008452, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.09788, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.020764, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.274811, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.029906, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.011271, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.033988, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.117173, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.590204, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 148507, "relative_activity": 2.785237, "balance": 3.590204, "dry_up": 1.245561, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.030598, "annualized_volatility": 0.161749, "from_high_reference": -0.025735, "from_low_reference": 0.238961 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 43.447362, "fair_value_reference": 37.417318, "structural_low": 38.5, 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45.391153, 45.339161, 44.538235, 43.817708 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 44.45, "volume": 46429, "typical_volume": 46900.3, "trend": 43.218501, "fair_value": 37.185199, "relative_strength": -3.798581, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.546126, "energy": 32.22922, "activity_lines": [ 45.078807, 45.184978, 44.635347, 43.899346 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 45.2548, "volume": 47619, "typical_volume": 47768.35, "trend": 43.305125, "fair_value": 37.292958, "relative_strength": -2.996503, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.013561, "energy": 29.597544, "activity_lines": [ 45.12324, 45.185481, 44.793797, 44.03072 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 47.7, "volume": 148507, "typical_volume": 53319.35, "trend": 43.447362, "fair_value": 37.417318, "relative_strength": -1.127127, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.704157, "energy": 48.562623, "activity_lines": [ 45.93952, 45.630546, 45.161944, 44.314261 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }