{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "03a1716e-b4a4-461b-808e-58362421b440",
    "symbol": "SMLV",
    "name": "STATE STREET SPDR US SMALL CAP LOW VOLATILITY INDEX ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 74.321,
    "architecture_energy": 64.953,
    "architecture_maturity": 49.231,
    "architecture_confidence": 85.513,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 2.25,
        "rotation_up": 68.86,
        "upward_expansion": 89.07,
        "deceleration": 56.66,
        "rotation_down": 21.38,
        "downward_expansion": 11.07
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        150.502312
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 160.9854,
    "trend_reference": 146.365717,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.099885,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 120.705537,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.333704,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 3.475811,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.12341,
    "excess_performance": -0.002215,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.099885,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.064188,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.333704,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.067341,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.034758,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.037893,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.12341,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.981517,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 14381,
      "relative_activity": 0.620874,
      "balance": 2.981517,
      "dry_up": 0.638262,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.028138,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.137023,
      "from_high_reference": -0.016883,
      "from_low_reference": 0.34035
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 120.705537,
      "structural_low": 132.683654,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
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    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 26,
        "median_return": 0.007374,
        "positive_rate": 0.538462,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.538462,
        "median_excess_return": -0.013768,
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        "worst_return": -0.102269,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": 1.281484,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "trend": 141.967584,
        "fair_value": 118.793809,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 24426.8,
        "trend": 142.747118,
        "fair_value": 119.179584,
        "relative_strength": 4.073914,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.536156,
        "energy": 86.138922,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 16421,
        "typical_volume": 24639.0,
        "trend": 143.645998,
        "fair_value": 119.565599,
        "relative_strength": 7.1939,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.073357,
        "energy": 89.306802,
        "activity_lines": [
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          150.590286,
          147.562351
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 158.7141,
        "volume": 9927,
        "typical_volume": 23004.15,
        "trend": 144.521917,
        "fair_value": 119.93774,
        "relative_strength": 7.093199,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.623265,
        "energy": 81.032525,
        "activity_lines": [
          158.491413,
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          151.757599,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 159.5273,
        "volume": 18406,
        "typical_volume": 22922.85,
        "trend": 145.489493,
        "fair_value": 120.314689,
        "relative_strength": 6.281046,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.983768,
        "energy": 65.314093,
        "activity_lines": [
          158.915107,
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          152.89943,
          149.502576
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 160.9854,
        "volume": 14381,
        "typical_volume": 23162.5,
        "trend": 146.365717,
        "fair_value": 120.705537,
        "relative_strength": 3.475811,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 74.321048,
        "energy": 64.953102,
        "activity_lines": [
          159.691527,
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          150.502312
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}