{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "03a64fe4-5335-47a3-9145-3ac405592f1e",
    "symbol": "BCI",
    "name": "BCI Minerals Limited",
    "exchange": "ASX",
    "country": "AU",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^AXJO",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 88.77,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 72.222,
    "architecture_energy": 73.501,
    "architecture_maturity": 17.758,
    "architecture_confidence": 73.054,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The prior uptrend is attempting to re-accelerate.",
        "body": "Positive Trend survived a recompression and Fast Activity is strengthening again. Promotion requires renewed confirmation across the completed evidence set."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 22.26,
        "rotation_up": 77.46,
        "upward_expansion": 91.22,
        "deceleration": 43.11,
        "rotation_down": 8.89,
        "downward_expansion": 15.55
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.431,
        0.416091,
        0.395881,
        0.392269
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 0.44,
    "trend_reference": 0.392167,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.121972,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 0.307334,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.431667,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 7.790925,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.142857,
    "excess_performance": 0.079151,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.121972,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.008141,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.431667,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.174375,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.077909,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.082525,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.142857,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.590947,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 6058200,
      "relative_activity": 1.457729,
      "balance": 0.590947,
      "dry_up": 1.347344,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.064248,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.346446,
      "from_high_reference": -0.06383,
      "from_low_reference": 0.333333
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.392167,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.307334,
      "structural_low": 0.3325,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.009796,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.013925,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.076923,
        "worst_return": -0.136363,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.028303,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": 0.010709,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.206897,
        "worst_return": -0.454546,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.018868,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.033372,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.310345,
        "worst_return": -0.488635,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.035448,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.125373,
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        "best_return": 0.275862,
        "worst_return": -0.488635,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2024-03-15",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.022222,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2024-07-05",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.021277,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.109091,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
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        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        "energy": 37.750858,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 0.4,
        "volume": 3659086,
        "typical_volume": 3809930.3,
        "trend": 0.388333,
        "fair_value": 0.303697,
        "relative_strength": 4.464591,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 21.817495,
        "energy": 38.418063,
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          0.404,
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          0.38019,
          0.382892
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 0.445,
        "volume": 8333023,
        "typical_volume": 4101852.6,
        "trend": 0.39,
        "fair_value": 0.30486,
        "relative_strength": 15.980512,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 46.326123,
        "energy": 66.875975,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.42,
          0.398182,
          0.38631,
          0.386548
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.43,
        "volume": 4347483,
        "typical_volume": 4077972.1,
        "trend": 0.391333,
        "fair_value": 0.306019,
        "relative_strength": 9.10306,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 41.749991,
        "energy": 64.509434,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.424667,
          0.406909,
          0.390738,
          0.389129
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.44,
        "volume": 6058200,
        "typical_volume": 4155917.15,
        "trend": 0.392167,
        "fair_value": 0.307334,
        "relative_strength": 7.790925,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.221546,
        "energy": 73.500928,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.431,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}