{ "ticker": { "uuid": "03a6a163-a94c-4ce5-b95a-d71bff423af4", "symbol": "EGGQ", "name": "NESTYIELD VISIONARY ETF", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 69.236, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 3.887, "architecture_energy": 20.327, "architecture_maturity": 51.02, "architecture_confidence": 82.319, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 55.44, "rotation_up": 15.24, "upward_expansion": 41.49, "deceleration": 86.6, "rotation_down": 44.87, "downward_expansion": 35.49 }, "activity_lines": [ 50.956874, 53.534981, 54.432132, 52.41612 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 51.5797, "trend_reference": 49.732261, "distance_from_trend": 0.037148, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 43.687004, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.180665, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -5.225831, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.195262, "excess_performance": 0.007808, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.037148, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.076207, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.180665, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.137493, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.052258, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.086364, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.195262, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.371573, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 19836, "relative_activity": 0.73223, "balance": 1.371573, "dry_up": 0.971332, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.12273, "annualized_volatility": 0.372182, "from_high_reference": -0.222905, "from_low_reference": 0.311639 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 49.732261, "fair_value_reference": 43.687004, "structural_low": 39.324616, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, 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"gate": "up", "direction": 55.272734, "energy": 40.481275, "activity_lines": [ 58.543235, 58.413014, 55.024573, 52.149466 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 49.86312, "volume": 22423, "typical_volume": 24763.05, "trend": 49.219441, "fair_value": 43.43543, "relative_strength": -4.980521, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 25.484415, "energy": 17.695276, "activity_lines": [ 55.382252, 56.969988, 54.885855, 52.200688 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 50.216629, "volume": 25652, "typical_volume": 25446.95, "trend": 49.360772, "fair_value": 43.518127, "relative_strength": -2.69438, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 16.254973, "energy": 19.066626, "activity_lines": [ 52.965614, 55.678767, 54.751412, 52.265022 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 49.6422, "volume": 37342, "typical_volume": 26641.1, "trend": 49.519117, "fair_value": 43.591911, "relative_strength": -4.24129, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 0.921856, "energy": 16.06628, "activity_lines": [ 51.322106, 54.364403, 54.517467, 52.283179 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 51.5797, "volume": 19836, "typical_volume": 27089.85, "trend": 49.732261, "fair_value": 43.687004, "relative_strength": -5.225831, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 3.887267, "energy": 20.326543, "activity_lines": [ 50.956874, 53.534981, 54.432132, 52.41612 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }