{ "ticker": { "uuid": "03b6da32-9f55-4c9c-948e-b8fa1f76d966", "symbol": "002734", "name": "Limin Group Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 89.529, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -56.043, "architecture_energy": 63.997, "architecture_maturity": 8.377, "architecture_confidence": 87.141, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.78, "rotation_up": 13.3, "upward_expansion": 16.59, "deceleration": 34.91, "rotation_down": 67.65, "downward_expansion": 87.59 }, "activity_lines": [ 14.678, 15.328, 15.963126, 16.581468 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 16.77, "trend_reference": 17.283464, "distance_from_trend": -0.029708, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 11.721322, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.430726, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -8.062562, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.191151, "excess_performance": -0.198551, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.029708, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.013538, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.430726, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.15018, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.080626, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.134605, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.191151, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.638425, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 118642245, "relative_activity": 1.556827, "balance": 0.638425, "dry_up": 1.072418, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.11175, "annualized_volatility": 0.628538, "from_high_reference": -0.270907, "from_low_reference": 0.433333 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 17.283464, "fair_value_reference": 11.721322, "structural_low": 11.7, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": 0.012745, "positive_rate": 0.56, "directional_follow_through": 0.44, "median_excess_return": -8.9e-05, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.336261, "worst_return": -0.313033, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.07455, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.000627, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.309524, "worst_return": -0.246738, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.053486, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.009715, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.144312, "worst_return": -0.168446, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.497354, "energy": 25.253653, "activity_lines": [ 16.746667, 16.751888, 16.987145, 17.367996 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 14.24, "volume": 63342832, "typical_volume": 101009178.25, "trend": 17.419557, "fair_value": 11.610922, "relative_strength": -20.981618, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.290023, "energy": 55.717458, "activity_lines": [ 15.907333, 16.290301, 16.668252, 17.160768 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 12.73, "volume": 90696225, "typical_volume": 91900140.3, "trend": 17.317936, "fair_value": 11.637913, "relative_strength": -28.839626, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.222796, "energy": 79.136576, "activity_lines": [ 14.628667, 15.614, 16.241939, 16.858216 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 13.5, "volume": 54224961, "typical_volume": 83713815.1, "trend": 17.241658, "fair_value": 11.668668, "relative_strength": -22.726098, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.42718, "energy": 80.088259, "activity_lines": [ 13.964667, 15.147818, 15.929249, 16.611898 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 16.77, "volume": 118642245, "typical_volume": 76207732.8, "trend": 17.283464, "fair_value": 11.721322, "relative_strength": -8.062562, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.042685, "energy": 63.996995, "activity_lines": [ 14.678, 15.328, 15.963126, 16.581468 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }