{ "ticker": { "uuid": "03d38e62-4bdd-4805-a936-ae2db42f30c1", "symbol": "002495", "name": "Guangdong Jialong Food Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -45.638, "architecture_energy": 36.046, "architecture_maturity": 81.994, "architecture_confidence": 65.194, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.96, "rotation_up": 25.3, "upward_expansion": 16.65, "deceleration": 66.67, "rotation_down": 38.84, "downward_expansion": 64.32 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.200667, 2.187818, 2.294868, 2.38545 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 2.29, "trend_reference": 2.497407, "distance_from_trend": -0.083049, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.410439, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.049965, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -15.290527, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.154982, "excess_performance": -0.162381, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.083049, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.073687, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.049965, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.161533, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.152905, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.034913, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.154982, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.324259, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 104383368, "relative_activity": 1.09736, "balance": 0.324259, "dry_up": 1.22927, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 6 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.076496, "annualized_volatility": 0.315808, "from_high_reference": -0.310241, "from_low_reference": 0.150754 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.497407, "fair_value_reference": 2.410439, "structural_low": 1.99, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": 0.021739, "positive_rate": 0.647059, "directional_follow_through": 0.352941, "median_excess_return": 0.017449, "regime_survival": 0.823529, "best_return": 0.3125, "worst_return": -0.265306, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.042829, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.024214, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.563381, "worst_return": -0.236559, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.16104, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.28224, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.654929, "worst_return": -0.382609, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"fair_value": 2.416388, "relative_strength": -18.647495, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.199204, "energy": 73.626433, "activity_lines": [ 2.157333, 2.225211, 2.363947, 2.451443 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.05, "volume": 130402688, "typical_volume": 95995530.9, "trend": 2.528407, "fair_value": 2.413806, "relative_strength": -22.439718, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.727045, "energy": 58.542285, "activity_lines": [ 2.122667, 2.178885, 2.324365, 2.418879 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.23, "volume": 114250040, "typical_volume": 96408343.0, "trend": 2.50974, "fair_value": 2.412377, "relative_strength": -13.758614, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.748626, "energy": 48.730895, "activity_lines": [ 2.156667, 2.175086, 2.30545, 2.399627 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.29, "volume": 104383368, "typical_volume": 95122306.5, "trend": 2.497407, "fair_value": 2.410439, "relative_strength": -15.290527, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.638353, "energy": 36.045763, "activity_lines": [ 2.200667, 2.187818, 2.294868, 2.38545 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }