{ "ticker": { "uuid": "03e1c61c-a172-42bf-9237-5530ade29f80", "symbol": "ATGL", "name": "Adani Total Gas Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 48.249, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 24.172, "architecture_energy": 23.465, "architecture_maturity": 64.365, "architecture_confidence": 94.416, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 48.25, "rotation_up": 20.65, "upward_expansion": 54.52, "deceleration": 90.93, "rotation_down": 38.25, "downward_expansion": 20.52 }, "activity_lines": [ 665.946659, 687.996065, 686.193509, 657.437621 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 657.549988, "trend_reference": 617.87119, "distance_from_trend": 0.064219, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 715.76748, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.081336, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 7.667947, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.209844, "excess_performance": 0.253553, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.064219, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.064989, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.081336, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.030734, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.076679, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.011995, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.209844, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.726437, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3107636, "relative_activity": 0.177079, "balance": 3.726437, "dry_up": 0.310674, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.079626, "annualized_volatility": 0.433807, "from_high_reference": -0.235007, "from_low_reference": 0.420808 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 617.87119, "fair_value_reference": 715.76748, "structural_low": 462.799988, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.036229, "positive_rate": 0.727273, "directional_follow_through": 0.727273, "median_excess_return": -0.008261, "regime_survival": 0.454545, "best_return": 0.317582, "worst_return": -0.087964, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.099777, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.058775, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.520035, "worst_return": -0.123729, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.222266, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.190526, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.949299, "worst_return": -0.165993, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"activity_lines": [ 695.043323, 710.640607, 686.303135, 652.139602 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 651.450012, "volume": 3174880, "typical_volume": 22065346.05, "trend": 614.504524, "fair_value": 715.710347, "relative_strength": 7.717971, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 29.215493, "energy": 22.093327, "activity_lines": [ 677.199996, 698.753592, 686.161537, 654.660494 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 657.549988, "volume": 3107636, "typical_volume": 17549417.3, "trend": 617.87119, "fair_value": 715.76748, "relative_strength": 7.667947, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 24.17202, "energy": 23.465305, "activity_lines": [ 665.946659, 687.996065, 686.193509, 657.437621 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }