{ "ticker": { "uuid": "03f2c1ea-b50c-41cc-86c4-b54ed189b64c", "symbol": "7764", "name": "SAINT JOSE", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.25, "architecture_energy": 67.928, "architecture_maturity": 55.088, "architecture_confidence": 95.121, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.67, "rotation_up": 15.91, "upward_expansion": 14.75, "deceleration": 40.32, "rotation_down": 65.27, "downward_expansion": 88.08 }, "activity_lines": [ 11.483333, 11.760909, 12.32119, 12.762151 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 11.55, "trend_reference": 13.408333, "distance_from_trend": -0.138595, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 19.989995, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.422211, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -47.508162, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.235099, "excess_performance": -0.676471, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.138595, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.071659, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.422211, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.060924, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.475082, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.021799, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.235099, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.311455, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 81786, "relative_activity": 0.18025, "balance": 0.311455, "dry_up": 0.536354, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.06993, "annualized_volatility": 0.239526, "from_high_reference": -0.502434, "from_low_reference": 0.054795 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 13.408333, "fair_value_reference": 19.989995, "structural_low": 10.95, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.044444, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.069477, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.064516, "worst_return": -0.090909, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.096774, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.481981, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.096774, "worst_return": -0.096774, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, 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"activity_lines": [ 11.573333, 11.985455, 12.577381, 13.014624 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 11.65, "volume": 357680, "typical_volume": 484506.15, "trend": 13.505, "fair_value": 20.074395, "relative_strength": -46.446548, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.010102, "energy": 75.251421, "activity_lines": [ 11.516667, 11.872727, 12.448571, 12.88828 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 11.55, "volume": 81786, "typical_volume": 453737.4, "trend": 13.408333, "fair_value": 19.989995, "relative_strength": -47.508162, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.250122, "energy": 67.927828, "activity_lines": [ 11.483333, 11.760909, 12.32119, 12.762151 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }