{ "ticker": { "uuid": "03fac119-d209-44a6-9337-83d348c1a0e9", "symbol": "MINDTECK", "name": "Mindteck (India) Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -30.199, "architecture_energy": 38.328, "architecture_maturity": 29.867, "architecture_confidence": 68.865, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 40.96, "rotation_up": 19.72, "upward_expansion": 16.24, "deceleration": 45.01, "rotation_down": 61.22, "downward_expansion": 53.24 }, "activity_lines": [ 195.039633, 199.80096, 202.548996, 200.802206 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 192.050003, "trend_reference": 201.804988, "distance_from_trend": -0.048339, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 216.816593, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.114228, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -8.766302, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.119158, "excess_performance": -0.075449, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.048339, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.017495, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.114228, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.168164, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.087663, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.135592, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.119158, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.846284, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 241432, "relative_activity": 0.59977, "balance": 0.846284, "dry_up": 0.72243, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.070641, "annualized_volatility": 0.405459, "from_high_reference": -0.375813, "from_low_reference": 0.323296 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 201.804988, "fair_value_reference": 216.816593, "structural_low": 145.130005, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 21, "median_return": -0.012531, "positive_rate": 0.47619, "directional_follow_through": 0.47619, "median_excess_return": -0.018014, "regime_survival": 0.52381, "best_return": 0.463748, "worst_return": -0.245195, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.098922, "positive_rate": 0.222222, "directional_follow_through": 0.222222, "median_excess_return": -0.135159, "regime_survival": 0.222222, "best_return": 0.716917, "worst_return": -0.303571, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.064281, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": -0.063376, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.742153, "worst_return": 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"relative_strength": -7.671563, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -27.127863, "energy": 22.65495, "activity_lines": [ 198.029609, 202.244226, 203.160899, 201.474183 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 192.050003, "volume": 241432, "typical_volume": 402541.2, "trend": 201.804988, "fair_value": 216.816593, "relative_strength": -8.766302, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -30.198831, "energy": 38.327599, "activity_lines": [ 195.039633, 199.80096, 202.548996, 200.802206 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }