{ "ticker": { "uuid": "04277825-6e64-41c4-b7a1-85175b3ffbb1", "symbol": "LAT", "name": "Lat\u00e9co\u00e8re S.A.", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 66.925, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -44.919, "architecture_energy": 33.731, "architecture_maturity": 53.968, "architecture_confidence": 84.873, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 27.04, "rotation_up": 26.71, "upward_expansion": 16.34, "deceleration": 45.41, "rotation_down": 38.69, "downward_expansion": 66.34 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.014653, 0.014593, 0.01484, 0.015359 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 0.015, "trend_reference": 0.016013, "distance_from_trend": -0.063281, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.015017, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.001139, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -6.402204, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.050633, "excess_performance": -0.103944, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.063281, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.005863, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.001139, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.176354, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.064022, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.097954, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.050633, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.058974, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 6800234, "relative_activity": 0.49853, "balance": 1.058974, "dry_up": 0.518881, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.047692, "annualized_volatility": 0.505959, "from_high_reference": -0.311927, "from_low_reference": 0.546392 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.016013, "fair_value_reference": 0.015017, "structural_low": 0.0137, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 42, "median_return": -0.034844, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.690476, "median_excess_return": -0.038143, "regime_survival": 0.857143, "best_return": 6.546395, "worst_return": -0.905561, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.05835, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.094041, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.285714, "worst_return": -0.619421, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.198021, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.192439, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.888889, "worst_return": -0.671945, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"typical_volume": 14701312.8, "trend": 0.016117, "fair_value": 0.015311, "relative_strength": -9.675878, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.730389, "energy": 76.959454, "activity_lines": [ 0.014253, 0.014442, 0.014953, 0.0155 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.015, "volume": 8725008, "typical_volume": 13879019.75, "trend": 0.016073, "fair_value": 0.015151, "relative_strength": -4.114799, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.385391, "energy": 57.403425, "activity_lines": [ 0.014473, 0.014518, 0.014892, 0.015428 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.015, "volume": 6800234, "typical_volume": 13640563.25, "trend": 0.016013, "fair_value": 0.015017, "relative_strength": -6.402204, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -44.919397, "energy": 33.730998, "activity_lines": [ 0.014653, 0.014593, 0.01484, 0.015359 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }