{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "042be9d2-8032-4858-bcab-dcaef9a18c67",
    "symbol": "WTW",
    "name": "Willis Towers Watson PLC",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 82.473,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 65.277,
    "architecture_energy": 85.11,
    "architecture_maturity": 19.616,
    "architecture_confidence": 68.559,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 11.12,
        "rotation_up": 84.52,
        "upward_expansion": 71.21,
        "deceleration": 18.0,
        "rotation_down": 16.02,
        "downward_expansion": 27.21
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        321.974667,
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        285.557563,
        284.640983
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 344.82,
    "trend_reference": 288.502592,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.195206,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 284.098732,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.213733,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -1.803245,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.048233,
    "excess_performance": -0.139221,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.195206,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.038812,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.213733,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.297724,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.018032,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.302674,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.048233,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.875225,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 2695103,
      "relative_activity": 0.811798,
      "balance": 1.875225,
      "dry_up": 0.87521,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.052618,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.393485,
      "from_high_reference": -0.016604,
      "from_low_reference": 0.438344
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 288.502592,
      "fair_value_reference": 284.098732,
      "structural_low": 239.734068,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.003768,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.010895,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.025083,
        "worst_return": -0.120948,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.045825,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.053397,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.135732,
        "worst_return": -0.164213,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.084923,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.030402,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
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        "worst_return": -0.130125,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.082278,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.042693,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.169468,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-07-26",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-01-24",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "return": -0.023337,
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.019392,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-07-25",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.050334,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-08-08",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.041554,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "return": 0.025083,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "return": 0.039594,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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      {
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      {
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        "active": true
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    ],
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 293.43,
        "volume": 2638992,
        "typical_volume": 3314969.65,
        "trend": 288.872145,
        "fair_value": 281.719307,
        "relative_strength": -14.08446,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": 8.315911,
        "energy": 25.070778,
        "activity_lines": [
          284.506227,
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          271.236942,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 295.11,
        "volume": 2257133,
        "typical_volume": 3266781.15,
        "trend": 287.62356,
        "fair_value": 282.315788,
        "relative_strength": -11.780694,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 27.859597,
        "energy": 37.313073,
        "activity_lines": [
          290.341244,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 335.92,
        "volume": 4031274,
        "typical_volume": 3323105.05,
        "trend": 287.981024,
        "fair_value": 283.1512,
        "relative_strength": 0.174158,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 55.473049,
        "energy": 73.965487,
        "activity_lines": [
          307.056667,
          291.014033,
          279.062806,
          280.973952
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 344.82,
        "volume": 2695103,
        "typical_volume": 3319919.35,
        "trend": 288.502592,
        "fair_value": 284.098732,
        "relative_strength": -1.803245,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 65.276589,
        "energy": 85.110379,
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          321.974667,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}