{ "ticker": { "uuid": "044b8175-2637-4224-9917-9ff0a071a874", "symbol": "G1LO34", "name": "GLOBANT SA DRN", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -41.671, "architecture_energy": 31.513, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 79.528, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 43.02, "rotation_up": 27.73, "upward_expansion": 17.18, "deceleration": 46.96, "rotation_down": 29.57, "downward_expansion": 62.52 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.881333, 8.619636, 9.131571, 9.852645 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 9.5, "trend_reference": 11.226667, "distance_from_trend": -0.1538, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 29.469802, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.677636, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -34.721562, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.383517, "excess_performance": -0.326469, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.1538, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.21501, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.677636, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.032117, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.347216, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.218748, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.383517, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.23423, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 84, "relative_activity": 0.121633, "balance": 1.23423, "dry_up": 0.528164, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.105911, "annualized_volatility": 0.732877, "from_high_reference": -0.550615, "from_low_reference": 0.32312 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 11.226667, "fair_value_reference": 29.469802, "structural_low": 7.18, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.132475, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.065499, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.176034, "worst_return": -0.238052, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.250591, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.21389, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.250591, "worst_return": -0.250591, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-03-13", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.251379, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2024-09-06", "close": 54.700001, "volume": 58500, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-09-13", "close": 54.700001, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": 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"trend": 12.195, "fair_value": 30.099796, "relative_strength": -47.287404, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.519627, "energy": 79.037173, "activity_lines": [ 8.132667, 8.634, 9.465857, 10.425914 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 7.79, "volume": 502, "typical_volume": 665.45, "trend": 11.831333, "fair_value": 29.874444, "relative_strength": -49.416213, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.596458, "energy": 65.333543, "activity_lines": [ 8.054667, 8.401273, 9.22981, 10.14172 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 9.38, "volume": 424, "typical_volume": 686.4, "trend": 11.529333, "fair_value": 29.6695, "relative_strength": -38.853136, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.706685, "energy": 44.13753, "activity_lines": [ 8.521333, 8.494727, 9.167095, 9.98357 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 9.5, "volume": 84, "typical_volume": 690.6, "trend": 11.226667, "fair_value": 29.469802, "relative_strength": -34.721562, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -41.671259, "energy": 31.513407, "activity_lines": [ 8.881333, 8.619636, 9.131571, 9.852645 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }