{ "ticker": { "uuid": "044ee0ad-537c-4d14-b16d-49a61606f457", "symbol": "DEX", "name": "DexTech Medical AB", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 76.459, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -11.65, "architecture_energy": 6.231, "architecture_maturity": 12.229, "architecture_confidence": 81.263, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 70.17, "rotation_up": 36.17, "upward_expansion": 31.45, "deceleration": 26.67, "rotation_down": 31.08, "downward_expansion": 23.11 }, "activity_lines": [ 10.39, 10.4, 10.322095, 10.35557 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 10.1, "trend_reference": 10.365667, "distance_from_trend": -0.025629, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 6.394295, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.579533, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -4.676297, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.114035, "excess_performance": -0.175529, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.025629, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.071867, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.579533, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.169895, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.046763, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.137575, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.114035, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.573741, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 13115, "relative_activity": 0.575316, "balance": 0.573741, "dry_up": 0.534301, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.094288, "annualized_volatility": 0.24164, "from_high_reference": -0.298611, "from_low_reference": 0.726496 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 10.365667, "fair_value_reference": 6.394295, "structural_low": 9.22, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.009709, "positive_rate": 0.538462, "directional_follow_through": 0.538462, "median_excess_return": -0.046352, "regime_survival": 0.692308, "best_return": 0.755814, "worst_return": -0.078947, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.017621, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.071342, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.941748, "worst_return": -0.09375, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.04918, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.030331, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.160194, "worst_return": -0.066079, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-09-06", "end": "2025-01-10", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.114537, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-01-17", "end": "2025-03-14", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.035176, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-03-21", "end": "2025-05-16", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.043689, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-05-23", "end": "2025-07-18", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.210084, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-07-25", "end": "2025-08-08", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.09589, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-08-15", "end": "2025-10-10", 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"direction": 40.863082, "energy": 18.195974, "activity_lines": [ 10.335333, 10.232727, 10.32, 10.23172 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 10.3, "volume": 78053, "typical_volume": 32431.85, "trend": 10.007333, "fair_value": 6.133462, "relative_strength": 2.653129, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 28.010793, "energy": 14.419786, "activity_lines": [ 10.368, 10.256, 10.299429, 10.257591 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 10.6, "volume": 3244, "typical_volume": 29587.0, "trend": 10.112333, "fair_value": 6.172564, "relative_strength": 6.154783, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 45.506677, "energy": 24.877619, "activity_lines": [ 10.484, 10.330182, 10.311714, 10.295828 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 10.2, "volume": 2702, "typical_volume": 28441.25, "trend": 10.160667, "fair_value": 6.208205, "relative_strength": -0.885945, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 30.238899, "energy": 17.359495, "activity_lines": [ 10.426667, 10.32, 10.289714, 10.301484 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 10.3, "volume": 22855, "typical_volume": 26216.6, "trend": 10.170667, "fair_value": 6.244744, "relative_strength": 2.048067, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 31.275266, "energy": 13.056423, "activity_lines": [ 10.373333, 10.328909, 10.282952, 10.310473 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 10.35, "volume": 6782, "typical_volume": 24719.5, "trend": 10.205667, "fair_value": 6.279744, "relative_strength": 3.259706, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 21.871951, "energy": 8.937505, "activity_lines": [ 10.336667, 10.342364, 10.28381, 10.322043 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 10.45, "volume": 21804, "typical_volume": 23170.95, "trend": 10.262333, "fair_value": 6.317949, "relative_strength": 2.253676, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 23.354489, "energy": 9.173407, "activity_lines": [ 10.37, 10.374, 10.297762, 10.337806 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 10.75, "volume": 7019, "typical_volume": 22468.85, "trend": 10.312333, "fair_value": 6.358077, "relative_strength": 3.487565, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 40.898908, "energy": 19.243187, "activity_lines": [ 10.493333, 10.452909, 10.341952, 10.369269 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 10.1, "volume": 13115, "typical_volume": 22796.15, "trend": 10.365667, "fair_value": 6.394295, "relative_strength": -4.676297, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -11.649524, "energy": 6.230554, "activity_lines": [ 10.39, 10.4, 10.322095, 10.35557 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }