{ "ticker": { "uuid": "045884af-9ab7-4230-9db8-d0a960eab22c", "symbol": "GE", "name": "GE Aerospace", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 66.954, "architecture_energy": 45.182, "architecture_maturity": 55.515, "architecture_confidence": 62.982, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.66, "rotation_up": 46.19, "upward_expansion": 73.22, "deceleration": 70.43, "rotation_down": 26.32, "downward_expansion": 11.22 }, "activity_lines": [ 360.586667, 359.946955, 341.875156, 331.563391 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 370.08, "trend_reference": 322.120044, "distance_from_trend": 0.148888, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 211.398259, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.750629, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 6.345929, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.15458, "excess_performance": 0.028955, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.148888, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.056644, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.750629, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.185655, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.063459, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.142948, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.15458, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.315395, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 16796547, "relative_activity": 0.665794, "balance": 3.315395, "dry_up": 0.774263, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.06366, "annualized_volatility": 0.333247, "from_high_reference": -0.048246, "from_low_reference": 0.408277 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 322.120044, "fair_value_reference": 211.398259, "structural_low": 268.91, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 40, "median_return": 0.037721, "positive_rate": 0.7, "directional_follow_through": 0.7, "median_excess_return": 0.013367, "regime_survival": 0.85, "best_return": 0.245129, "worst_return": -0.172492, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.090627, "positive_rate": 0.923077, "directional_follow_through": 0.923077, "median_excess_return": 0.071218, "regime_survival": 0.692308, "best_return": 0.306619, "worst_return": -0.106113, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.170012, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.079968, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.693261, "worst_return": 0.106648, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"volume": 17532764, "typical_volume": 26006904.75, "trend": 320.488083, "fair_value": 209.603395, "relative_strength": 7.303784, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.407858, "energy": 42.818488, "activity_lines": [ 357.156801, 356.494756, 337.233247, 328.363912 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 370.08, "volume": 16796547, "typical_volume": 25227841.45, "trend": 322.120044, "fair_value": 211.398259, "relative_strength": 6.345929, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.95364, "energy": 45.182044, "activity_lines": [ 360.586667, 359.946955, 341.875156, 331.563391 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }