{ "ticker": { "uuid": "045f977c-056b-4f25-a590-7f881b052e2b", "symbol": "360750", "name": "Mirae Asset Maps Management - Mirae Asset Tiger S&P500 ETF", "exchange": "KSC", "country": "KR", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^KS11", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 12.909, "architecture_energy": 22.408, "architecture_maturity": 63.415, "architecture_confidence": 71.385, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 57.73, "rotation_up": 19.83, "upward_expansion": 48.78, "deceleration": 85.16, "rotation_down": 38.31, "downward_expansion": 26.78 }, "activity_lines": [ 27056.479167, 27474.460866, 27496.630618, 26968.404116 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 27075.0, "trend_reference": 26281.58737, "distance_from_trend": 0.030189, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 20472.277538, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.32252, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -13.988467, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.096528, "excess_performance": -0.1333, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.030189, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.041597, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.32252, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.066811, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.139885, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.249833, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.096528, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.396113, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 125506754, "relative_activity": 1.383176, "balance": 0.396113, "dry_up": 2.035988, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.030847, "annualized_volatility": 0.135115, "from_high_reference": -0.066379, "from_low_reference": 0.242119 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 26281.58737, "fair_value_reference": 20472.277538, "structural_low": 23659.008994, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.00292, "positive_rate": 0.416667, "directional_follow_through": 0.416667, "median_excess_return": -0.001832, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.072888, "worst_return": -0.084916, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.041721, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.055659, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.140344, "worst_return": -0.080717, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.137919, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.107196, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.223538, "worst_return": 0.014182, "sufficient": 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26281.58737, "fair_value": 20472.277538, "relative_strength": -13.988467, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 12.908536, "energy": 22.407855, "activity_lines": [ 27056.479167, 27474.460866, 27496.630618, 26968.404116 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }