{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "0480691c-06ed-4739-8c8e-943903f95f1f",
    "symbol": "600863",
    "name": "Inner Mongolia MengDian HuaNeng Thermal Power Corporation Limited",
    "exchange": "SHH",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "000001.SS",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 51.188,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -22.916,
    "architecture_energy": 18.793,
    "architecture_maturity": 14.951,
    "architecture_confidence": 53.687,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 55.9,
        "rotation_up": 24.48,
        "upward_expansion": 12.84,
        "deceleration": 62.01,
        "rotation_down": 44.51,
        "downward_expansion": 40.84
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        4.705637,
        4.737532,
        4.993402,
        5.028203
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 4.72,
    "trend_reference": 5.018367,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.059455,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 4.144368,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.138895,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 0.708615,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.030801,
    "excess_performance": 0.012403,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.059455,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.024784,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.138895,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.070865,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.007086,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.003131,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.030801,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.762816,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 585143777,
      "relative_activity": 0.862568,
      "balance": 1.762816,
      "dry_up": 1.425981,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.158996,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.643812,
      "from_high_reference": -0.354309,
      "from_low_reference": 0.191919
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 5.018367,
      "fair_value_reference": 4.144368,
      "structural_low": 4.071049,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 17,
        "median_return": 0.01373,
        "positive_rate": 0.764706,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.764706,
        "median_excess_return": -0.000719,
        "regime_survival": 0.352941,
        "best_return": 0.452586,
        "worst_return": -0.211734,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
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        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
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        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.069333,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
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        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.090501,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.038462,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
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        "regime_survival": 0.25,
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        "worst_return": -0.013488,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
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      },
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
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        "relative_strength": -3.706143,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 588788848.65,
        "trend": 5.005915,
        "fair_value": 4.117975,
        "relative_strength": -2.266737,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -28.188147,
        "energy": 36.709038,
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          5.087823,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 645667260.5,
        "trend": 5.0057,
        "fair_value": 4.125247,
        "relative_strength": 3.106974,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -29.96179,
        "energy": 45.393764,
        "activity_lines": [
          4.52275,
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          5.043221,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 4.93,
        "volume": 837940371,
        "typical_volume": 666537168.9,
        "trend": 5.010367,
        "fair_value": 4.134394,
        "relative_strength": 8.258002,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -25.800901,
        "energy": 23.669018,
        "activity_lines": [
          4.659349,
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          5.046936
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 4.72,
        "volume": 585143777,
        "typical_volume": 678374334.5,
        "trend": 5.018367,
        "fair_value": 4.144368,
        "relative_strength": 0.708615,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -22.916262,
        "energy": 18.793024,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}