{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0482a4b0-0996-4b52-85c0-5631b7388657", "symbol": "603283", "name": "Suzhou Secote Precision Electronic Co.,LTD", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 11.503, "architecture_energy": 29.86, "architecture_maturity": 60.381, "architecture_confidence": 78.039, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 40.59, "rotation_up": 17.45, "upward_expansion": 50.78, "deceleration": 91.17, "rotation_down": 54.04, "downward_expansion": 32.78 }, "activity_lines": [ 44.455333, 51.439091, 50.661863, 47.460498 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 44.41, "trend_reference": 43.656426, "distance_from_trend": 0.017261, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 35.032496, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.26768, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 13.671494, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.151513, "excess_performance": 0.194716, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.017261, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.185186, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.26768, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.009227, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.136715, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.049571, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.151513, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.941223, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 109791082, "relative_activity": 1.167663, "balance": 0.941223, "dry_up": 1.325023, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.217192, "annualized_volatility": 0.773136, "from_high_reference": -0.424293, "from_low_reference": 0.57363 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 43.656426, "fair_value_reference": 35.032496, "structural_low": 30.853333, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.082431, "positive_rate": 0.583333, "directional_follow_through": 0.583333, "median_excess_return": 0.063183, "regime_survival": 0.416667, "best_return": 0.566667, "worst_return": -0.161196, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.056675, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.005417, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.590181, "worst_return": -0.36178, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.135699, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.100885, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.12968, "worst_return": -0.290857, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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47.621807 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 43.709999, "volume": 138056594, "typical_volume": 90273148.5, "trend": 43.121563, "fair_value": 34.746734, "relative_strength": 16.926078, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 28.741408, "energy": 22.14249, "activity_lines": [ 54.098666, 56.421097, 51.642223, 47.685407 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 38.5, "volume": 121128325, "typical_volume": 92872727.2, "trend": 43.27452, "fair_value": 34.867612, "relative_strength": 1.943443, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 1.375394, "energy": 20.667071, "activity_lines": [ 47.189332, 53.278181, 50.880453, 47.387242 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 44.41, "volume": 109791082, "typical_volume": 94026369.15, "trend": 43.656426, "fair_value": 35.032496, "relative_strength": 13.671494, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 11.502675, "energy": 29.859969, "activity_lines": [ 44.455333, 51.439091, 50.661863, 47.460498 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }