{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "048f3b30-620a-4e47-bb3b-b9a6d3a6e8fe",
    "symbol": "IUS",
    "name": "INVESCO RAFI(TM) STRATEGIC US ETF",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 90.777,
    "architecture_energy": 87.424,
    "architecture_maturity": 40.89,
    "architecture_confidence": 81.431,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 0.35,
        "rotation_up": 77.36,
        "upward_expansion": 96.26,
        "deceleration": 42.15,
        "rotation_down": 18.93,
        "downward_expansion": 18.26
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        68.047707,
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        65.879502,
        64.365482
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Stable",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 69.51,
    "trend_reference": 62.55799,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.111129,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 50.468004,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.377308,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 2.443387,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.153571,
    "excess_performance": -0.033882,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.111129,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.055336,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.377308,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.04842,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.024434,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.06596,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.153571,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.733874,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 401008,
      "relative_activity": 1.391639,
      "balance": 1.733874,
      "dry_up": 1.105214,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.018951,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.099241,
      "from_high_reference": -0.003012,
      "from_low_reference": 0.352116
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 62.55799,
      "fair_value_reference": 50.468004,
      "structural_low": 56.5401,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 43,
        "median_return": 0.01297,
        "positive_rate": 0.744186,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.744186,
        "median_excess_return": -0.002304,
        "regime_survival": 0.837209,
        "best_return": 0.050028,
        "worst_return": -0.056094,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 16,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.002867,
        "regime_survival": 0.6875,
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        "worst_return": -0.086187,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "regime_survival": 0.75,
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        "worst_return": -0.098834,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.021353,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "color": "amber",
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        "active": false
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        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 276826.3,
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        "fair_value": 49.921665,
        "relative_strength": 2.97457,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 76.716613,
        "energy": 83.091808,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 66.8452,
        "volume": 215779,
        "typical_volume": 270265.0,
        "trend": 61.838928,
        "fair_value": 50.093352,
        "relative_strength": 4.381963,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.581266,
        "energy": 78.51123,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 67.96,
        "volume": 421610,
        "typical_volume": 283063.3,
        "trend": 62.195649,
        "fair_value": 50.276231,
        "relative_strength": 5.388734,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.828192,
        "energy": 82.250151,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 69.51,
        "volume": 401008,
        "typical_volume": 288155.2,
        "trend": 62.55799,
        "fair_value": 50.468004,
        "relative_strength": 2.443387,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 90.776804,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}