{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "04906de3-3a4b-41f1-9480-32d2b76c7a38",
    "symbol": "002809",
    "name": "Guangdong Redwall New Materials Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHZ",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "399001.SZ",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -63.134,
    "architecture_energy": 57.273,
    "architecture_maturity": 89.9,
    "architecture_confidence": 94.838,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 8.57,
        "rotation_up": 27.97,
        "upward_expansion": 10.51,
        "deceleration": 60.91,
        "rotation_down": 51.97,
        "downward_expansion": 83.85
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        7.586667,
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        8.389756,
        9.269301
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 8.0,
    "trend_reference": 10.400054,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.230773,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 9.690699,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.174466,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -29.535008,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.478147,
    "excess_performance": -0.485547,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.230773,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.095734,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.174466,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.260228,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.29535,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.001789,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.478147,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.43999,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 28337217,
      "relative_activity": 0.674195,
      "balance": 0.43999,
      "dry_up": 0.824909,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.109133,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.487808,
      "from_high_reference": -0.5,
      "from_low_reference": 0.221374
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 10.400054,
      "fair_value_reference": 9.690699,
      "structural_low": 6.55,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 18,
        "median_return": 0.006374,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
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        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "regime_survival": 0.4,
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        "worst_return": -0.073776,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.051431,
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
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        "sufficient": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 55472276.5,
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        "fair_value": 9.725144,
        "relative_strength": -37.503,
        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 7.59,
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        "typical_volume": 48279560.2,
        "trend": 10.489721,
        "fair_value": 9.706117,
        "relative_strength": -30.493367,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -66.419389,
        "energy": 64.17927,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 8.0,
        "volume": 28337217,
        "typical_volume": 42031204.4,
        "trend": 10.400054,
        "fair_value": 9.690699,
        "relative_strength": -29.535008,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -63.134454,
        "energy": 57.273235,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}