{ "ticker": { "uuid": "049c3b9a-203d-4820-87d0-85e173600029", "symbol": "KIDS", "name": "Orthopediatrics Corp", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 79.034, "architecture_energy": 49.382, "architecture_maturity": 32.833, "architecture_confidence": 84.423, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 13.72, "rotation_up": 61.52, "upward_expansion": 79.1, "deceleration": 57.48, "rotation_down": 17.8, "downward_expansion": 5.77 }, "activity_lines": [ 20.665333, 20.152273, 19.121262, 18.522699 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 22.77, "trend_reference": 17.9765, "distance_from_trend": 0.266654, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 24.160481, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.057552, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 9.979985, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.367568, "excess_performance": 0.180114, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.266654, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.039084, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.057552, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.261978, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.0998, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.309961, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.367568, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.517744, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1928709, "relative_activity": 2.337951, "balance": 1.517744, "dry_up": 1.269242, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.088975, "annualized_volatility": 0.420724, "from_high_reference": -0.017264, "from_low_reference": 0.579057 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 17.9765, "fair_value_reference": 24.160481, "structural_low": 14.42, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.01203, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": -0.051883, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.230471, "worst_return": -0.179619, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.122227, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.159057, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": -0.026445, "worst_return": -0.17387, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.172724, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.33928, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.133541, "worst_return": -0.536082, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-10-18", "end": "2025-02-07", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.120827, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-02-14", "end": "2025-04-11", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.140536, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-18", "end": "2025-07-18", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.048095, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-07-25", "end": "2025-08-08", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.168791, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-08-15", "end": "2026-01-09", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.045857, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-01-16", "end": "2026-03-27", "tenure": 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786221.15, "trend": 17.689167, "fair_value": 24.533365, "relative_strength": -4.891209, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.676826, "energy": 60.951784, "activity_lines": [ 19.781, 19.243455, 18.309571, 17.969613 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 18.87, "volume": 744324, "typical_volume": 781094.5, "trend": 17.740167, "fair_value": 24.387212, "relative_strength": -4.276646, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.424899, "energy": 36.451196, "activity_lines": [ 19.493333, 19.255, 18.421595, 18.045796 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 20.19, "volume": 688812, "typical_volume": 777019.35, "trend": 17.827833, "fair_value": 24.262724, "relative_strength": 2.379204, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.691919, "energy": 37.103457, "activity_lines": [ 19.645667, 19.485636, 18.655429, 18.203849 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 22.77, "volume": 1928709, "typical_volume": 824957.1, "trend": 17.9765, "fair_value": 24.160481, "relative_strength": 9.979985, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.033884, "energy": 49.381916, "activity_lines": [ 20.665333, 20.152273, 19.121262, 18.522699 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }