{ "ticker": { "uuid": "04ade6c2-8a66-46cd-bc42-19e95a779258", "symbol": "688700", "name": "Kunshan Dongwei Technology Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -20.55, "architecture_energy": 34.29, "architecture_maturity": 48.796, "architecture_confidence": 45.783, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 43.71, "rotation_up": 14.08, "upward_expansion": 16.93, "deceleration": 71.07, "rotation_down": 63.96, "downward_expansion": 41.93 }, "activity_lines": [ 58.882554, 67.676465, 71.600418, 67.553398 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 62.790001, "trend_reference": 60.627208, "distance_from_trend": 0.035674, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 39.049512, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.607959, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 23.495727, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.507563, "excess_performance": 0.550767, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.035674, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.274172, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price 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"A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.004167, "positive_rate": 0.545455, "directional_follow_through": 0.545455, "median_excess_return": -0.026124, "regime_survival": 0.545455, "best_return": 0.334672, "worst_return": -0.178395, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.02961, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.058658, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.376209, "worst_return": -0.374059, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.037127, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.021091, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.38194, "worst_return": -0.36585, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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67.857632 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 58.48, "volume": 86378642, "typical_volume": 64188973.55, "trend": 59.206541, "fair_value": 39.171579, "relative_strength": 19.831137, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 4.998498, "energy": 24.973337, "activity_lines": [ 66.173314, 75.309055, 73.893001, 67.864156 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 51.310001, "volume": 72141034, "typical_volume": 63008345.7, "trend": 59.710207, "fair_value": 39.059951, "relative_strength": 4.215709, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -32.743068, "energy": 40.579652, "activity_lines": [ 59.123985, 70.184214, 72.2074, 67.354702 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 62.790001, "volume": 80995473, "typical_volume": 61419682.5, "trend": 60.627208, "fair_value": 39.049512, "relative_strength": 23.495727, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -20.549575, "energy": 34.289909, "activity_lines": [ 58.882554, 67.676465, 71.600418, 67.553398 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }