{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "04c03bf6-7bb3-4ae4-9a95-7177536a9287",
    "symbol": "3338",
    "name": "TaiSol Electronics Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "TAI",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-21",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch",
    "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch",
    "confidence": 51.11,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -23.501,
    "architecture_energy": 35.828,
    "architecture_maturity": 10.58,
    "architecture_confidence": 64.115,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 41.71,
        "rotation_up": 16.81,
        "upward_expansion": 20.41,
        "deceleration": 54.12,
        "rotation_down": 59.12,
        "downward_expansion": 47.74
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        62.153333,
        63.870782,
        67.352078,
        66.87075
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 61.0,
    "trend_reference": 64.704157,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.057248,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 60.3743,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.010364,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -24.338316,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.189251,
    "excess_performance": -0.156481,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.057248,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.100963,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.010364,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.275851,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.243383,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.147311,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.189251,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.2758,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 909104,
      "relative_activity": 0.095125,
      "balance": 1.2758,
      "dry_up": 0.209335,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.124745,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.52355,
      "from_high_reference": -0.341687,
      "from_low_reference": 0.33503
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 64.704157,
      "fair_value_reference": 60.3743,
      "structural_low": 51.391041,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.019134,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.077232,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": -0.00308,
        "worst_return": -0.076696,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.040674,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.121162,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.05136,
        "worst_return": -0.063218,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.112069,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.052742,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.550856,
        "worst_return": -0.281992,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.036616,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.022018,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.170924,
        "worst_return": -0.097691,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-09-13",
        "end": "2024-10-18",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.020115,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-10-25",
        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.219806,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-07-18",
        "end": "2025-08-08",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.127619,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "violet",
        "start": "2025-08-15",
        "end": "2025-08-29",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-09-05",
        "end": "2025-09-26",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.092949,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-11-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.098418,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2025-12-12",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.019134,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-12-19",
        "end": "2026-01-02",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.028689,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2026-01-30",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.048404,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2026-03-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.157171,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "violet",
        "start": "2026-03-13",
        "end": "2026-04-03",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.027304,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2026-06-26",
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        "return": 0.190176,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.198895,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "end": "2026-08-21",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.046875,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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      },
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
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        "typical_volume": 10467260.05,
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        "fair_value": 60.294434,
        "relative_strength": -27.006445,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -32.646604,
        "energy": 33.620136,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
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        "volume": 2311809,
        "typical_volume": 9799714.1,
        "trend": 63.77534,
        "fair_value": 60.286706,
        "relative_strength": -20.794503,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -18.133795,
        "energy": 33.009046,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 63.799999,
        "volume": 1638189,
        "typical_volume": 9631925.45,
        "trend": 64.311799,
        "fair_value": 60.324401,
        "relative_strength": -22.939424,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -17.880456,
        "energy": 36.568312,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-21",
        "close": 61.0,
        "volume": 909104,
        "typical_volume": 9556899.2,
        "trend": 64.704157,
        "fair_value": 60.3743,
        "relative_strength": -24.338316,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -23.50071,
        "energy": 35.82763,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}