{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "04cbf6bf-9a3f-4bce-b6c0-6c294a6fea81",
    "symbol": "3708",
    "name": "Swancor Holding Co., LTD.",
    "exchange": "TAI",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-14",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 90.447,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -60.102,
    "architecture_energy": 56.65,
    "architecture_maturity": 12.391,
    "architecture_confidence": 90.805,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 21.25,
        "rotation_up": 12.85,
        "upward_expansion": 11.32,
        "deceleration": 40.36,
        "rotation_down": 66.69,
        "downward_expansion": 86.98
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        97.153334,
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        104.972396,
        107.171586
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 100.5,
    "trend_reference": 109.225413,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.079884,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 98.293116,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.022452,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -35.810271,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.013735,
    "excess_performance": -0.455107,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.079884,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.003034,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.022452,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.09249,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.358103,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.052559,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.013735,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.492201,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 4318101,
      "relative_activity": 0.921899,
      "balance": 0.492201,
      "dry_up": 0.567238,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.103836,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.442942,
      "from_high_reference": -0.315006,
      "from_low_reference": 0.174065
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 109.225413,
      "fair_value_reference": 98.293116,
      "structural_low": 85.599998,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 25,
        "median_return": -0.016304,
        "positive_rate": 0.48,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.52,
        "median_excess_return": -0.007986,
        "regime_survival": 0.76,
        "best_return": 0.274617,
        "worst_return": -0.191566,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": -0.045409,
        "positive_rate": 0.222222,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.777778,
        "median_excess_return": -0.056263,
        "regime_survival": 0.444444,
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        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
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        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
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        "worst_return": -0.325958,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "worst_return": -0.028849,
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-06-06",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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      },
      {
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        "fair_value": 97.79706,
        "relative_strength": -38.175584,
        "stage": 3,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 100.0,
        "volume": 1880728,
        "typical_volume": 5486387.4,
        "trend": 110.195168,
        "fair_value": 97.936995,
        "relative_strength": -35.871871,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Neutral compression",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -62.652883,
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        "activity_lines": [
          101.959999,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 91.900002,
        "volume": 3226135,
        "typical_volume": 5017980.3,
        "trend": 109.657421,
        "fair_value": 98.030625,
        "relative_strength": -39.543366,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -74.435962,
        "energy": 71.391933,
        "activity_lines": [
          97.886667,
          102.629436,
          107.047261,
          108.623723
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 96.0,
        "volume": 1202626,
        "typical_volume": 4726568.5,
        "trend": 109.350692,
        "fair_value": 98.152784,
        "relative_strength": -37.47008,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -63.110339,
        "energy": 69.313437,
        "activity_lines": [
          96.286667,
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          105.750046,
          107.742599
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 100.5,
        "volume": 4318101,
        "typical_volume": 4683917.75,
        "trend": 109.225413,
        "fair_value": 98.293116,
        "relative_strength": -35.810271,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -60.102108,
        "energy": 56.649534,
        "activity_lines": [
          97.153334,
          100.091456,
          104.972396,
          107.171586
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}