{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "04d7e63f-fd39-4b1b-82f6-01aa3fcdfba6",
    "symbol": "KABE-B",
    "name": "KABE Group AB (publ.)",
    "exchange": "STO",
    "country": "SE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^OMX",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 58.224,
    "architecture_energy": 60.399,
    "architecture_maturity": 17.169,
    "architecture_confidence": 59.854,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 23.54,
        "rotation_up": 68.25,
        "upward_expansion": 58.74,
        "deceleration": 25.49,
        "rotation_down": 18.53,
        "downward_expansion": 19.41
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        196.0,
        191.345455,
        186.493995,
        184.754654
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 212.0,
    "trend_reference": 186.028108,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.139613,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 257.787837,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.177618,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -6.002365,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.08622,
    "excess_performance": 0.024726,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.139613,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.034845,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.177618,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.147958,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.060024,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.20253,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.08622,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.947887,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 35206,
      "relative_activity": 3.256061,
      "balance": 2.947887,
      "dry_up": 1.173323,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.0489,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.27201,
      "from_high_reference": -0.147303,
      "from_low_reference": 0.278058
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 186.028108,
      "fair_value_reference": 257.787837,
      "structural_low": 165.876621,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.067308,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.026889,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.067308,
        "worst_return": -0.067308,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.0625,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.004603,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.0625,
        "worst_return": 0.0625,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.133639,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.057081,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.133639,
        "worst_return": 0.133639,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.502333,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.445634,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.502333,
        "worst_return": 0.502333,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-09-08",
        "end": "2023-10-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.005504,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2023-10-27",
        "end": "2023-11-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.093802,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-11-24",
        "end": "2024-03-22",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.036851,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-03-29",
        "end": "2024-05-03",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.087662,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-05-10",
        "end": "2024-08-30",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.035858,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-09-06",
        "end": "2024-09-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.056886,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-09-27",
        "end": "2024-10-18",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.07,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-10-25",
        "end": "2025-01-31",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.044088,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-02-07",
        "end": "2025-02-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.072369,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-03-07",
        "end": "2025-07-25",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.103114,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-08-29",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.149254,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "start": "2025-09-05",
        "end": "2026-06-26",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "return": -0.002639,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "active": true
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    ],
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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        "energy": 54.11075,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 174.685089,
        "volume": 9703,
        "typical_volume": 8951.0,
        "trend": 199.736525,
        "fair_value": 260.555213,
        "relative_strength": -28.791108,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
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        "energy": 43.492498,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 8774.5,
        "trend": 198.203956,
        "fair_value": 260.533661,
        "relative_strength": -26.703664,
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        "energy": 37.962196,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 175.674805,
        "volume": 5334,
        "typical_volume": 8814.3,
        "trend": 196.589656,
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        "relative_strength": -26.255366,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 190.0,
        "volume": 60065,
        "typical_volume": 11758.2,
        "trend": 195.567285,
        "fair_value": 260.361221,
        "relative_strength": -18.631577,
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        "energy": 21.575987,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 184.5,
        "volume": 10485,
        "typical_volume": 11878.3,
        "trend": 194.198121,
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        "relative_strength": -23.008884,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -31.089945,
        "energy": 18.646416,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 180.0,
        "volume": 15557,
        "typical_volume": 12154.5,
        "trend": 192.744342,
        "fair_value": 259.874336,
        "relative_strength": -23.947202,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -30.401197,
        "energy": 18.997684,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 176.0,
        "volume": 4380,
        "typical_volume": 12068.9,
        "trend": 191.549533,
        "fair_value": 259.544323,
        "relative_strength": -24.393837,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -30.078661,
        "energy": 17.638521,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 178.0,
        "volume": 1640,
        "typical_volume": 11880.75,
        "trend": 190.356902,
        "fair_value": 259.257134,
        "relative_strength": -22.698379,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -38.271081,
        "energy": 22.252631,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "trend": 189.644176,
        "fair_value": 259.043798,
        "relative_strength": -21.555253,
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        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -34.943337,
        "energy": 22.081795,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 180.5,
        "volume": 1167,
        "typical_volume": 11361.5,
        "trend": 188.980252,
        "fair_value": 258.790638,
        "relative_strength": -20.970906,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -35.250026,
        "energy": 21.141374,
        "activity_lines": [
          179.9,
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          179.170952,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 189.5,
        "volume": 753,
        "typical_volume": 10940.9,
        "trend": 188.50086,
        "fair_value": 258.601171,
        "relative_strength": -18.570917,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -1.253373,
        "energy": 6.613762,
        "activity_lines": [
          183.266667,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 192.0,
        "volume": 6336,
        "typical_volume": 10818.45,
        "trend": 188.170783,
        "fair_value": 258.436731,
        "relative_strength": -14.882772,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": 7.724538,
        "energy": 26.582692,
        "activity_lines": [
          186.833333,
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          181.256819,
          183.069468
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 189.0,
        "volume": 3780,
        "typical_volume": 10055.3,
        "trend": 187.658229,
        "fair_value": 258.256061,
        "relative_strength": -14.530657,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 18.930939,
        "energy": 37.627868,
        "activity_lines": [
          188.333333,
          185.190909,
          182.157926,
          183.122966
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 186.0,
        "volume": 4717,
        "typical_volume": 9711.25,
        "trend": 187.06217,
        "fair_value": 258.035156,
        "relative_strength": -16.419904,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 18.366169,
        "energy": 36.105935,
        "activity_lines": [
          188.1,
          185.518182,
          182.745214,
          183.015983
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 188.0,
        "volume": 7043,
        "typical_volume": 9445.35,
        "trend": 185.988434,
        "fair_value": 257.848076,
        "relative_strength": -15.683114,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 26.150119,
        "energy": 36.550851,
        "activity_lines": [
          188.3,
          186.281818,
          183.508214,
          183.076489
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 212.0,
        "volume": 35206,
        "typical_volume": 10812.45,
        "trend": 186.028108,
        "fair_value": 257.787837,
        "relative_strength": -6.002365,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 58.224102,
        "energy": 60.399309,
        "activity_lines": [
          196.0,
          191.345455,
          186.493995,
          184.754654
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}