{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "04dbb21d-66b2-4992-9c7c-031b79329610",
    "symbol": "VIDY",
    "name": "Vanguard FTSE Developed ex North America High Dividend Yield Index ETF",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 88.031,
    "architecture_energy": 93.154,
    "architecture_maturity": 38.99,
    "architecture_confidence": 74.956,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 1.9,
        "rotation_up": 85.31,
        "upward_expansion": 99.58,
        "deceleration": 39.17,
        "rotation_down": 10.37,
        "downward_expansion": 21.58
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        47.934,
        47.269075,
        46.229871,
        45.592368
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 48.790001,
    "trend_reference": 44.869482,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.087376,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 34.382338,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.419043,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 1.957771,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.092258,
    "excess_performance": -0.028163,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.087376,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.046382,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.419043,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.063576,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.019578,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.036931,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.092258,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.311745,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 155900,
      "relative_activity": 0.786718,
      "balance": 2.311745,
      "dry_up": 1.153584,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.019373,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.172426,
      "from_high_reference": -0.003676,
      "from_low_reference": 0.309495
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 44.869482,
      "fair_value_reference": 34.382338,
      "structural_low": 41.299999,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 45,
        "median_return": 0.013128,
        "positive_rate": 0.688889,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.688889,
        "median_excess_return": 0.004136,
        "regime_survival": 0.8,
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        "worst_return": -0.104081,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.038547,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 9,
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        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.083379,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "fair_value": 32.25709,
        "relative_strength": 0.476556,
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch",
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        "energy": 50.242497,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "relative_strength": -1.735343,
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "relative_strength": -1.601158,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "relative_strength": -1.501838,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 355500.0,
        "trend": 42.880614,
        "fair_value": 32.99832,
        "relative_strength": -2.106844,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 51.603401,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": -2.217256,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 45.738598,
        "volume": 35000,
        "typical_volume": 326350.0,
        "trend": 43.216514,
        "fair_value": 33.25736,
        "relative_strength": -0.48106,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 65.702782,
        "energy": 49.861017,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "relative_strength": -0.435889,
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        "energy": 59.638944,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 45.709999,
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        "typical_volume": 283885.0,
        "trend": 43.584799,
        "fair_value": 33.529524,
        "relative_strength": -0.582448,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.315684,
        "energy": 63.170676,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 46.924999,
        "volume": 37700,
        "typical_volume": 258240.0,
        "trend": 43.810763,
        "fair_value": 33.673727,
        "relative_strength": 1.275778,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 80.677545,
        "energy": 79.142093,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 46.959999,
        "volume": 244500,
        "typical_volume": 246775.0,
        "trend": 44.02528,
        "fair_value": 33.813307,
        "relative_strength": 1.189881,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 76.270949,
        "energy": 81.711501,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 46.82,
        "volume": 212700,
        "typical_volume": 230350.0,
        "trend": 44.21687,
        "fair_value": 33.949176,
        "relative_strength": 0.98253,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.640572,
        "energy": 79.714622,
        "activity_lines": [
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          46.08449,
          45.304107,
          44.88471
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 47.419998,
        "volume": 203000,
        "typical_volume": 209325.0,
        "trend": 44.425806,
        "fair_value": 34.087813,
        "relative_strength": 1.972972,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.790568,
        "energy": 87.275793,
        "activity_lines": [
          46.987999,
          46.420565,
          45.573409,
          45.091363
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 48.049999,
        "volume": 342800,
        "typical_volume": 204360.0,
        "trend": 44.648617,
        "fair_value": 34.232883,
        "relative_strength": 3.70058,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 82.766169,
        "energy": 89.073972,
        "activity_lines": [
          47.415666,
          46.807508,
          45.879822,
          45.325182
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 48.790001,
        "volume": 155900,
        "typical_volume": 198165.0,
        "trend": 44.869482,
        "fair_value": 34.382338,
        "relative_strength": 1.957771,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 88.031451,
        "energy": 93.154449,
        "activity_lines": [
          47.934,
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          46.229871,
          45.592368
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}