{ "ticker": { "uuid": "04e4af4f-257f-4bd1-abd4-0c9ae3375a54", "symbol": "5465", "name": "Loyalty Founder Enterprise Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 74.413, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -46.122, "architecture_energy": 35.693, "architecture_maturity": 88.311, "architecture_confidence": 91.589, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.72, "rotation_up": 20.9, "upward_expansion": 6.57, "deceleration": 52.65, "rotation_down": 56.15, "downward_expansion": 79.91 }, "activity_lines": [ 22.653334, 22.846519, 23.449307, 23.980368 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 24.700001, "trend_reference": 24.980967, "distance_from_trend": -0.011247, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 32.989386, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.251274, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -37.490878, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.120228, "excess_performance": -0.5616, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.011247, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.054789, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.251274, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.072608, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.374909, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.127446, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.120228, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.180466, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 849015, "relative_activity": 1.245243, "balance": 1.180466, "dry_up": 0.644364, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.069116, "annualized_volatility": 0.287324, "from_high_reference": -0.414808, "from_low_reference": 0.1875 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 24.980967, "fair_value_reference": 32.989386, "structural_low": 20.799999, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 24, "median_return": 0.005174, "positive_rate": 0.541667, "directional_follow_through": 0.458333, "median_excess_return": -0.052277, "regime_survival": 0.791667, "best_return": 0.140556, "worst_return": -0.116451, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.007663, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.069749, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.207248, "worst_return": -0.208259, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.107609, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.281029, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.305889, "worst_return": -0.260745, "sufficient": true 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contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.93499, "energy": 74.165147, "activity_lines": [ 22.593609, 23.403619, 23.844576, 24.50553 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 21.6, "volume": 333300, "typical_volume": 701370.6, "trend": 25.328445, "fair_value": 33.230865, "relative_strength": -44.691993, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.694745, "energy": 77.109579, "activity_lines": [ 22.131563, 22.983094, 23.595805, 24.251162 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 21.549999, "volume": 308001, "typical_volume": 667655.85, "trend": 25.118861, "fair_value": 33.090533, "relative_strength": -44.761591, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.002636, "energy": 77.378421, "activity_lines": [ 21.783172, 22.598537, 23.364044, 24.007391 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 24.700001, "volume": 849015, "typical_volume": 681806.6, "trend": 24.980967, "fair_value": 32.989386, "relative_strength": -37.490878, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -46.122259, "energy": 35.69276, "activity_lines": [ 22.653334, 22.846519, 23.449307, 23.980368 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }