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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 89.145, "architecture_energy": 78.677, "architecture_maturity": 28.0, "architecture_confidence": 86.455, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.98, "rotation_up": 75.77, "upward_expansion": 93.83, "deceleration": 40.97, "rotation_down": 16.54, "downward_expansion": 15.83 }, "activity_lines": [ 125.633333, 121.852191, 118.789764, 113.001375 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 136.5, "trend_reference": 104.425896, "distance_from_trend": 0.307147, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 73.604868, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.854497, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 9.36853, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.651117, "excess_performance": 0.209745, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.307147, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.164054, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.854497, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.073137, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.093685, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.077978, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.651117, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.880118, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 435306, "relative_activity": 1.45412, "balance": 2.880118, "dry_up": 0.681612, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.059504, "annualized_volatility": 0.340503, "from_high_reference": -0.047101, "from_low_reference": 0.933602 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 104.425896, "fair_value_reference": 73.604868, "structural_low": 81.922313, 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"upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.129008, "energy": 42.820697, "activity_lines": [ 117.785789, 116.942665, 114.303452, 108.139026 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 119.0, "volume": 132676, "typical_volume": 293916.8, "trend": 100.842098, "fair_value": 72.701719, "relative_strength": 0.865112, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.538906, "energy": 41.857356, "activity_lines": [ 118.370916, 117.298188, 115.291007, 109.404738 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 122.5, "volume": 195225, "typical_volume": 289835.25, "trend": 102.410027, "fair_value": 73.115545, "relative_strength": 1.544701, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.90429, "energy": 63.577707, "activity_lines": [ 119.897875, 118.373451, 116.452722, 110.802022 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 136.5, "volume": 435306, "typical_volume": 299360.35, "trend": 104.425896, "fair_value": 73.604868, "relative_strength": 9.36853, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 89.144744, "energy": 78.676808, "activity_lines": [ 125.633333, 121.852191, 118.789764, 113.001375 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }