{ "ticker": { "uuid": "05053a4d-773e-45a8-b1e9-40d91489dedc", "symbol": "GLOBN", "name": "Globant S.A.", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -50.553, "architecture_energy": 52.507, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 92.825, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 33.93, "rotation_up": 27.9, "upward_expansion": 22.18, "deceleration": 46.96, "rotation_down": 41.84, "downward_expansion": 69.85 }, "activity_lines": [ 559.081331, 555.478542, 600.943235, 655.077675 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 560.0, "trend_reference": 752.666998, "distance_from_trend": -0.255979, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2286.041239, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.755035, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -41.904848, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.504425, "excess_performance": -0.449758, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.255979, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.21821, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.755035, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.022476, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.419048, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.104384, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.504425, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.769874, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 0.769874, "dry_up": 0.100936, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.083027, "annualized_volatility": 0.789823, "from_high_reference": -0.631497, "from_low_reference": 0.158221 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 752.666998, "fair_value_reference": 2286.041239, "structural_low": 483.5, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": -0.023365, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.5625, "median_excess_return": -0.062178, "regime_survival": 0.875, "best_return": 0.14491, "worst_return": -0.277443, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.136219, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.119208, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.134259, "worst_return": -0.43038, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.385158, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.49605, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": -0.353903, "worst_return": -0.416412, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"gate": "down", "direction": -62.637559, "energy": 60.742191, "activity_lines": [ 552.395996, 560.318905, 610.85033, 668.937911 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 560.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 170.9, "trend": 752.666998, "fair_value": 2286.041239, "relative_strength": -41.904848, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.553388, "energy": 52.507337, "activity_lines": [ 559.081331, 555.478542, 600.943235, 655.077675 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }