{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0506dcb9-d11d-4600-a5d7-5fb48da0484b", "symbol": "000810", "name": "Skyworth Digital Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -61.714, "architecture_energy": 72.355, "architecture_maturity": 17.068, "architecture_confidence": 81.515, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 31.72, "rotation_up": 13.51, "upward_expansion": 20.29, "deceleration": 31.83, "rotation_down": 74.65, "downward_expansion": 88.96 }, "activity_lines": [ 9.746667, 10.596553, 11.17337, 11.332548 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 9.67, "trend_reference": 11.557923, "distance_from_trend": -0.163345, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 11.785608, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.179508, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -22.184857, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.167814, "excess_performance": -0.175214, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.163345, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.031305, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.179508, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.233778, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.221849, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.086282, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.167814, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.599345, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 92539124, "relative_activity": 1.024481, "balance": 0.599345, "dry_up": 1.633456, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.136157, "annualized_volatility": 0.571825, "from_high_reference": -0.356192, "from_low_reference": 0.079241 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 11.557923, "fair_value_reference": 11.785608, "structural_low": 8.96, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": 0.014965, "positive_rate": 0.565217, "directional_follow_through": 0.434783, "median_excess_return": 0.002671, "regime_survival": 0.73913, "best_return": 0.448621, "worst_return": -0.135294, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.019133, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.003865, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.912181, "worst_return": -0.1875, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.105433, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.094226, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.750708, "worst_return": -0.105145, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"activity_lines": [ 12.478396, 12.071998, 11.97685, 11.896313 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 9.99, "volume": 253525107, "typical_volume": 82673492.55, "trend": 11.775923, "fair_value": 11.894718, "relative_strength": -18.086036, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -11.285335, "energy": 8.475894, "activity_lines": [ 11.788, 11.70249, 11.804718, 11.778017 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 9.09, "volume": 132970104, "typical_volume": 85399787.75, "trend": 11.70059, "fair_value": 11.856381, "relative_strength": -25.201817, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.137686, "energy": 54.796842, "activity_lines": [ 10.799333, 11.221797, 11.555872, 11.604731 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 9.44, "volume": 111151829, "typical_volume": 88380168.7, "trend": 11.628257, "fair_value": 11.821474, "relative_strength": -20.596683, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.387725, "energy": 69.541455, "activity_lines": [ 10.141333, 10.861462, 11.349787, 11.458887 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 9.67, "volume": 92539124, "typical_volume": 90327816.5, "trend": 11.557923, "fair_value": 11.785608, "relative_strength": -22.184857, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.713826, "energy": 72.354932, "activity_lines": [ 9.746667, 10.596553, 11.17337, 11.332548 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }