{ "ticker": { "uuid": "052e430e-4441-4061-a024-505da0cb8f20", "symbol": "INQQ", "name": "HANetf INQQ India Internet UCITS ETF Acc", "exchange": "MIL", "country": "IT", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 83.8, "architecture_energy": 86.837, "architecture_maturity": 16.863, "architecture_confidence": 63.242, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 13.92, "rotation_up": 81.44, "upward_expansion": 95.49, "deceleration": 43.21, "rotation_down": 9.46, "downward_expansion": 19.82 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.365133, 7.240564, 7.036081, 6.94371 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 7.515, "trend_reference": 6.921267, "distance_from_trend": 0.085784, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 8.193922, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.082857, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -15.002186, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.032564, "excess_performance": -0.138328, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.085784, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.046206, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.082857, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.094606, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.150022, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.098836, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.032564, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.859113, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 972, "relative_activity": 0.180394, "balance": 2.859113, "dry_up": 0.146014, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.025795, "annualized_volatility": 0.220317, "from_high_reference": -0.151614, "from_low_reference": 0.222349 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.921267, "fair_value_reference": 8.193922, "structural_low": 6.148, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.017769, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.016183, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.011985, "worst_return": -0.047524, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.048301, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.073078, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.048301, "worst_return": -0.048301, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.0996, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.169326, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.0996, "worst_return": -0.0996, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, 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1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 49.882363, "energy": 80.952839, "activity_lines": [ 7.219267, 7.021636, 6.878376, 6.869443 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 7.118, "volume": 325, "typical_volume": 6059.95, "trend": 6.954267, "fair_value": 8.20459, "relative_strength": -17.801176, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 40.2946, "energy": 75.479559, "activity_lines": [ 7.205467, 7.0658, 6.912838, 6.878009 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7.39, "volume": 9, "typical_volume": 6005.05, "trend": 6.932367, "fair_value": 8.198771, "relative_strength": -14.554695, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 54.890263, "energy": 80.971059, "activity_lines": [ 7.276467, 7.148745, 6.97081, 6.90612 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.515, "volume": 972, "typical_volume": 5388.2, "trend": 6.921267, "fair_value": 8.193922, "relative_strength": -15.002186, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 83.799593, "energy": 86.837233, "activity_lines": [ 7.365133, 7.240564, 7.036081, 6.94371 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }