{ "ticker": { "uuid": "05343107-5ac8-4b33-b3cf-8f2dd9a3309b", "symbol": "5212", "name": "Hyweb Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 74.65, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -39.314, "architecture_energy": 21.07, "architecture_maturity": 13.087, "architecture_confidence": 74.416, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 52.39, "rotation_up": 16.37, "upward_expansion": 7.36, "deceleration": 55.95, "rotation_down": 45.1, "downward_expansion": 66.36 }, "activity_lines": [ 47.013334, 47.210001, 47.163347, 47.525519 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 46.700001, "trend_reference": 47.968987, "distance_from_trend": -0.026454, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 47.462528, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.016066, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -29.778207, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.025799, "excess_performance": -0.467172, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.026454, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.006149, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.016066, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.036838, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.297782, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.001833, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.025799, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.832434, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 20000, "relative_activity": 0.199637, "balance": 0.832434, "dry_up": 0.314591, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.04398, "annualized_volatility": 0.176864, "from_high_reference": -0.167501, "from_low_reference": 0.131824 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 47.968987, "fair_value_reference": 47.462528, "structural_low": 44.549999, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": -0.011513, "positive_rate": 0.315789, "directional_follow_through": 0.315789, "median_excess_return": -0.00674, "regime_survival": 0.421053, "best_return": 0.230367, "worst_return": -0.148936, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.046649, "positive_rate": 0.3, "directional_follow_through": 0.3, "median_excess_return": -0.043622, "regime_survival": 0.3, "best_return": 0.350785, "worst_return": -0.222232, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": 0.025115, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.319958, "worst_return": -0.174688, "sufficient": true 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"gate": "down", "direction": -24.786868, "energy": 13.81365, "activity_lines": [ 47.33, 47.009091, 47.538284, 47.906722 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 47.75, "volume": 28000, "typical_volume": 122033.6, "trend": 48.324551, "fair_value": 47.155058, "relative_strength": -30.881717, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -29.91175, "energy": 16.708069, "activity_lines": [ 47.556667, 47.156364, 47.511894, 47.865663 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 47.700001, "volume": 35053, "typical_volume": 121886.05, "trend": 48.23012, "fair_value": 47.214088, "relative_strength": -25.942655, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -27.022349, "energy": 15.524722, "activity_lines": [ 47.66, 47.288182, 47.482956, 47.82537 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 47.049999, "volume": 37065, "typical_volume": 121238.85, "trend": 48.160382, "fair_value": 47.27135, "relative_strength": -27.963698, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -30.378834, "energy": 17.695698, "activity_lines": [ 47.513333, 47.282727, 47.393681, 47.749233 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 46.700001, "volume": 54000, "typical_volume": 117588.85, "trend": 48.109886, "fair_value": 47.33223, "relative_strength": -26.933629, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -38.602933, "energy": 16.759763, "activity_lines": [ 47.266667, 47.226364, 47.278829, 47.655015 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 47.450001, "volume": 15000, "typical_volume": 107188.05, "trend": 48.0473, "fair_value": 47.396052, "relative_strength": -26.870626, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -31.203987, "energy": 15.417782, "activity_lines": [ 47.223334, 47.30091, 47.248358, 47.612442 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 46.700001, "volume": 20000, "typical_volume": 100181.75, "trend": 47.968987, "fair_value": 47.462528, "relative_strength": -29.778207, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -39.313959, "energy": 21.07035, "activity_lines": [ 47.013334, 47.210001, 47.163347, 47.525519 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }